Wednesday, 31 August 2022

THIS EVENING: BNP Paribas thinks we’ll get USD 3-5 bn from the IMF + A fresh energy squeeze from Russia

It’s almost-THURSDAY, wonderful people — our second-favorite day of the week. We have a balanced but interesting news day to bring you on this final workday before entering a new month. But first…

Tell us how you’re feeling about your business and the wider economy and we’ll be back with the results just in time to give you a sense of what everyone else is thinking heading into budget season.

How has 2022 been for your business? And how do you feel about what’s left of the year? Are you investing? Do you plan to hire new staff (or make cuts to your existing staff) now or in 2023? What’s the USD / EGP rate you expect to use for your 2023 budget? Where do you see your industry as a whole heading?

Make your voice heard in our Fall Reader Survey. It won’t take more than a few minutes to complete.

THE BIG STORY TODAY

BNP Paribas tempers expectations of a mega IMF loan: BNP Paribas has revised its earlier predictions on Egypt’s super sized loan package from the IMF to USD 3-5 bn, down from a previous assumption of USD 10 bn, it said in a research note today. The French bank’s forecasts come as officials continue to shoot down expectations on a super-sized facility without disclosing an exact figure.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

The international business press is occupied this afternoon with different sides of the same story: Advancements in the Russia-Ukraine war and how it’s all affecting Europe’s energy situation. Ukraine launched a push today against Russian forces to reclaim occupied territory in the south. Armed with weapons from his Western friends, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy launched the offensive to safeguard Ukraine’s access to the Black Sea, Reuters reports. Meanwhile, Europe is bracing itself for energy cuts as Russian gas giant Gazprom tightens the taps to France over contractual disagreements and cuts flows to the Nord Stream pipeline, Bloomberg reports. The vital Nord Stream pipeline halted supplies earlier this morning for what it said was unscheduled three day maintenance, leaving Germany to tap into its gas reserves. Reuters also has the story.


HAPPENING NOW-

** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • Goods that have been piling up at Egypt’s ports are expected to be released in the “coming days” as the government rolls out a basket of measures to clear shipments that have been held up at customs.
  • EGP WATCH- Credit Suisse + Arqaam are the latest to comment on the fate of the EGP: FX flexibility is “definitely going to come” if Egypt is to solve its external imbalances and is important as a “sustainable” strategy for the currency, Arqaam Capital and Credit Suisse said yesterday.
  • Auto sales halved in July from a year earlier as the market continued to struggle with import restrictions, inflation and a weaker currency.

FOR TOMORROW-

A new month begins, kicking off our monthly list of data points to keep your eye on:

  • PMI data: Data measuring activity in Egypt’s non-oil private sector will be released on Monday, 5 September.
  • Foreign reserves figures for August should be out during the first week of the month.
  • Inflation figures: Inflation data for August from CAPMAS will land on Saturday, 10 September. Expect the Central Bank of Egypt to follow up on Sunday, 11 September with its inflation report.
  • Interest rates: The Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meets on Thursday, 22 September to review interest rates.

ALSO TOMORROW-

  • Social safety net: Credit hikes for ration card holders will come into effect and the Madbouly government is set to introduce new social protection measures.
  • Third Egypt- and UN-led regional climate roundtable in Santiago: The two-day event will see climate negotiators discuss climate finance with private- and public-sector stakeholders ahead of the COP27 summit in November.

???? CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

It’s going to get easier for owners of overseas yachts to pitch up in Egypt: The Transport Ministry’s digital platform for foreign yachts will be up and running starting tomorrow, it said in a statement. The platform will act as a one-stop-shop for yacht owners to get the permits they need to come to Egypt and moor at marina’s across the country. We have the full rundown on the state’s efforts towards becoming a yacht tourism destination in our Hardhat here.

The Chemical and Fertilizers Export Council of the Trade and Industry Ministry is organizing a trade mission to Kenya between 4-8 October, the council said in a statement yesterday. Around 30 companies are set to take part in the mission, according to state news agency MENA.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Temperatures in Cairo will hit 38°C tomorrow during the day before falling to 24°C at night, our favorite weather app tells us.

***

WE’RE LOOKING FOR SMART, TALENTED PEOPLE to help us build some very cool new things. Today, we run two daily publications, one regional publication, five weekly industry verticals, and a monthly newsletter designed to make our readers feel just a bit smarter.

We have tons more in the pipeline — come help us build new publications. We offer the chance to work in a fast-paced newsroom on a broad range of topics and in a variety of formats. Our goal is simple: To create value for our growing community of >199k readers by telling stories that matter.

We’re looking for editors who want to run publications and teams, editors to help reporters craft stories, and talented reporters. Egyptian and foreign nationals alike are welcome to apply. So are job-switchers: If you’re an equities analyst tired of the rat race, we’re a great place to come work.

Apply directly to jobs@enterprisemea.com and mention Patrick in your subject line.

Or hit this link for more information. It’s worth it — trust us.

***

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

Enterprise is available without charge thanks to the generous support of HSBC Egypt (tax ID: 204-901-715), the leading corporate and retail lender in Egypt; EFG Hermes (tax ID: 200-178-385), the leading financial services corporation in frontier emerging markets; SODIC (tax ID: 212-168-002), a leading Egyptian real estate developer; SomaBay (tax ID: 204-903-300), our Red Sea holiday partner; Infinity (tax ID: 474-939-359), the ultimate way to power cities, industries, and homes directly from nature right here in Egypt; CIRA (tax ID: 200-069-608), the leading providers of K-12 and higher level education in Egypt; Orascom Construction (tax ID: 229-988-806), the leading construction and engineering company building infrastructure in Egypt and abroad; Moharram & Partners (tax ID: 616-112-459), the leading public policy and government affairs partner; Palm Hills Developments (tax ID: 432-737-014), a leading developer of commercial and residential properties; Mashreq (tax ID: 204-898-862), the MENA region’s leading homegrown personal and digital bank; Industrial Development Group (IDG) (tax ID:266-965-253), the leading builder of industrial parks in Egypt; Hassan Allam Properties (tax ID:  553-096-567), one of Egypt’s most prominent and leading builders; and Saleh, Barsoum & Abdel Aziz (tax ID: 220-002-827), the leading audit, tax and accounting firm in Egypt.