Sunday, 23 October 2022

PM — More celebrity interest in investment firms

TL;DR

???? WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to a new week. Today’s news cycle is dominated pretty much entirely by the Madbouly government’s economic conference.

THE BIG STORY TODAY

Are we going to say goodbye to L/Cs soon? The government is currently working on reversing the requirement for importers to issue letters of credit to buy goods “soon,” Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said during the economic conference (watch, runtime: 2:34:07). This comes weeks after President Abdel Fattah El Sisi said that import challenges facing manufacturers should be solved within two months, without specifying that this would include L/Cs.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

China’s Xi secures unprecedented third term in power: Chinese President Xi Jinping will continue to lead the country for at least another five years, breaking a decades-long precedent that only allowed Chinese leaders to rule for two five-year terms. Xi has further cemented his power with a new governing body that replaces four members with men known to be a part of his inner circle. (Reuters | Wall Street Journal | CNN | The Guardian | Bloomberg)


** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • S&P Global Ratings has affirmed Egypt’s B credit rating with a stable outlook on the back of expectations that fresh financial support from the IMF and the GCC will help us meet our “large” external funding needs.
  • A state committee left fuel prices unchanged at its latest quarterly meeting, defying expectations of another raise and ending a streak of six consecutive quarters of petrol price hikes.
  • Hassan Allam Holding and Emirati renewables player Masdar will invest some USD 10 bn in their green hydrogen project in the Suez Canal Economic Zone over the next seven-10 years.

enterprise

*** It’s Inside Industry day — your weekly briefing of all things industrial in Egypt. Inside Industry focuses each Sunday on what it takes to turn Egypt into a manufacturing and export powerhouse, ranging from initial investment and planning to product distribution, through to land allocation to industrial processes, supply chain management, labor, automation and technology, inputs and exports, regulation and policy.

In today’s issue: We profile the new EGP 4 bn black sands plant in Kafr El Sheikh’s Burullus, and how it fits into the global picture of rare earth material production.

???? CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

Egypt and the UAE will host a gathering marking 50 years of bilateral ties. The conference takes place Wednesday-Friday (26-28 October) and is being produced in association with the two governments. Day one is an economic forum featuring ministers, senior officials and business leaders from the two countries, while the following day will feature a cultural forum.

AND- The Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone) will launch a promotional campaign ahead of COP27 on potential investments in the zone. The domestic campaign will be launched today before the international campaign kicks off tomorrow.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Temperatures in Cairo will hit 29°C tomorrow during the day before falling to 17°C in the evening, our favorite weather app tells us.

enterprise

???? FOR YOUR COMMUTE

Leadership and employees remain at odds over the hybrid work model: 87% of employees believe they are working productively while 85% of surveyed managers believe the shift to hybrid work has challenged confidence in productivity, a Microsoft survey reports. In an earlier survey, the challenge of hybrid work was illustrated by 38% of hybrid employees reporting their biggest issue was knowing when and why to come into the office while only 28% of companies had established and defined the new parameters. A rise in digital exhaustion was also reported, with 13% of employees saying that working remotely had extended the work day by 46 minutes, and after-hours work on the weekend or in the evening had increased by 14%.

Luxury goods remain robust despite a looming recession: LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE — the world’s largest luxury brand — reported robust sales up 19% y-o-y exceeding analysts estimates of a 13% increase, Reuters reports, citing data from Visible Alpha. The sharp rise in sales is due to wealthy shoppers in Europe, the US, and Japan splashing out on fashion and Americans in Europe capitalizing on a strong USD. “Luxury is not a proxy for the general economy,” LVMH’s CFO told analysts when asked about the “divorce” between the luxury industry and global economic circumstances, Bloomberg reports, explaining that affluent people have their own behavior which is not always completely in line with economics.

Growth despite price hikes: Fellow luxury company Hermes reported annual growth of 24% despite raising prices an average of 4%.The enormous rise in affluence around the world helps explain why demand for luxury products is rising with the easing of China’s Covid-related restrictions is also another contributing factor to the boost in shopping and spending.


Forget skincare, the latest celebrity founder craze is investment firms: Football player Lionel Messi is launching his own investment firm, Play Time Sports-Tech HoldCo LLC, according to a statement picked up by Bloomberg. The firm will focus on sports, media and technology, deploying funds to help startup founders build football-tech companies or invest in teams. “I am excited to extend our roots into Silicon Valley, and I am thrilled that Play Time will collaborate with daring entrepreneurs from all over the world,” Messi said. Last month, we reported that reality TV star Kim Kardashian and Carlyle’s former global head of consumer, media, and retail Jay Simmons, are launching a new private-equity firm, Skky Partners.

???? ENTERPRISE RECOMMENDS

???? ON THE TUBE TONIGHT-
(all times CLT)

The app that changed the music industry: Netflix’s The Playlist is a fascinating six-part dramatization of how Spotify was created. Daniel Ek, the programmer who developed the software, was a nervous, bald, socially awkward outsider from a humble family who soon rose to the top of the music industry. In the first episode, we meet Ek in 2004 when he used coins to buy an Aretha Franklin CD for his mother. Google turns him down for being undereducated, and motivated by this rejection, Ek embarks on revolutionizing the music industry with tech. The show deftly shifts viewpoints in every episode to keep things interesting, meaning we get to peek into the financial side of things through the eyes of Sony Music’s managing director.

Our verdict: The Playlist is a well-written show with excellent performances and an intriguing premise. The series examines the benefits and drawbacks of streaming music, as well as who will be left out in the cold when the dust settles (watch trailer, runtime 1:51).

⚽ It’s a busy day for football fans, starting with our Egyptian Premier League. Ceramica Cleopatra face Zamalek at 5pm, followed by El Ahly v Aswan at 7pm. Pyramids FC and Al Masry are battling it out on the field as we dispatch — their game started at 3pm.

English Premier League: Tottenham v Newcastle will kick off at 5:30pm, and four games have already kicked off at 3pm: Southampton v Arsenal, Wolverhampton v Leicester City, Aston Villa v Brentford, and Leeds v Fulham.

In Spain’s La Liga, these are the games you should keep an eye on:

Barcelona v Atletico Bilbao (9pm)

Villarreal v Almería (6:30pm)

Real Betis v Atletico Madrid (4:15pm)

In Italy’s Serie A, you don’t want to miss Roma v Napoli at 8:45pm

???? EAT THIS TONIGHT-

Maadi’s Madeleine is the crème de la crème of bakeries: This charming spot specializes in classic French pastries, from delicate eclairs and flaky croissants to decadent tarts and rich chocolate mousse. All the flavors we tried were little bites of carb heaven, but the coffee-based eclairs and salted caramel tarts are particularly popular. Our personal favorite is the lemon meringue tart, with a perfectly crisp crust and light, tangy filling. Their savory bites were just as delightful — don’t miss out on their mini quiches. No matter what you order, you'll be impressed with the skill and artistry that goes into each and every Madeleine pastry.

???? OUT AND ABOUT-
(all times CLT)

Head to Zamalek’s Gallery Misr for The Light of Black Ink exhibition: Self-taught artist Jamal Abdul Rahim constructs his works of art in response to social change. His work is heavily influenced by the mythology, religion, and language of the ancient Arab world. The exhibition opens at 7pm tonight and runs through 10 November.

Improv group Irtigalia is taking the stage at Room Art Space in New Cairo to perform sketches made up on the spot and chosen at random by the audience. The fun kicks off at 9pm.

???? UNDER THE LAMPLIGHT-

Settle in and pay attention: How High We Go in the Dark gets intense: Sequoia Nagamatsu’s novel opens eight years from now in Siberia, where scientists discover the remains of a young woman with the genetic features of a starfish or octopus which triggers the unleashing of a deadly virus that attacks human organs. After this unsettling scene setter, the story shifts to a theme park called the City of Laughter, where children infected with the virus can spend one final happy day before being killed on a roller coaster. We then get introduced to a sad scientist who gets a second chance at fatherhood when one of his research pigs develops the capacity to speak like a human. Finally, we meet a widowed artist and her teenage granddaughter travel across space and time in an attempt to find a new planet to call home. Although each chapter appears like a standalone short story, the tales are part of a wider narrative. From hotels for the dead to interstellar starships, readers embark on a journey that spans continents, centuries, and even celestial bodies to tell a story about the strength of the human spirit and the universal bonds that bind us all.

???? GO WITH THE FLOW

The EGX30 fell 0.15% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 976.9 mn (3.7% below the 90-day average). International investors were net sellers. The index is down 14.15% YTD.

In the green: GB Auto (+2.0%), Fawry (+1.7%) and Alexandria Containers and Cargo Handling (+1.6%).

In the red: Egypt Kuwait Holding-EGP (-3.7%), Telecom Egypt (-1.9%) and Cleopatra Hospitals (-1.8%).

industry

PROJECT PROFILE- The first black sand plant in Egypt: Last Wednesday, President Abdel Fattah El Sisi inaugurated a EGP 4 bn Hassan Allam-built black sand plant in Burullus, Kafr El Sheikh, which includes six factories to dredge and separate minerals from black sand ore (watch, runtime: 31:17). The plant’s floating concentration station mines and dredges beach sand for rare minerals that could plug the gap in the local market of many industries with surpluses earmarked for export to European and Asian markets. The first phase of mining has begun from the Burullus dunes, which extends along a 16 km coastline. The plant is expected to produce 298k tons of ilmenite, 25k tons of zircon, 12k tons of garnet, 11k tons of rutile, amd 145k tons of monazite, Magdy Al Taweel, head of the military-affiliated National Service Products Organization’s Egyptian Black Sand Company (EBSC) — which owns the plant — told the Middle East News Agency.

Our friends at Hassan Allam Construction carried out the engineering and construction and contributed to the design of the plant, which the company built in a record 12 months, according to a statement (pdf). Hassan Allam landed the contract for the project — which will both cover domestic needs and open the door for exports, as Hassan Allam Holding CEO Hassan Allam noted — from EBSC back in 2020.

ESBC’s shareholder structure: The National Service Projects Organization holds 61%, with the rest of the shareholder structure divided between the Nuclear Material Authority (NMA) (15%), the National Investment Bank (12%), the local governorate administration of Kafr El-Sheikh (10%), and the Egyptian Company for Mining Resources 2%.

The riches of black sand: Black sand is an accumulation of fragments of durable heavy minerals found in streambeds and beaches. The mining of these deposits yields ilmenite, zircon, garnet, rutile, magnetite and other rare minerals. In Egypt, rare earth elements such as Uranium and thorium are found in minerals — monazite and granites — extracted from black sand. Uranium was found in granites of the Eastern Desert while thorium was found in the Eastern Desert and in the monazite from black sands, according to a review by International Journal of Materials Technology and Innovation. Tests run on samples of black sand in Rashid revealed that black sand ores are rich in uranium, thorium, and other rare earth elements (REE), according to data reported in the Egyptian Journal of Chemistry. In fact, concentrations of rare earth elements in black sand were found to be higher than the average level globally.

Use cases of the extracted rare minerals: REEs have medical, biological, industrial, and nuclear applications. The 41 types of extracted minerals are production inputs for more than 49 strategic industries: The manufacture of aircraft structures, missiles, submarines, space vehicles, dyes, paper, leather, paint, ceramics, engine alloys, dental fittings, metal beds, high-temperature concrete, sponge iron, abrasive stones, sandpaper, water filters, telephones, and EVs.

The black sand industry could do good things for our trade balance: The industry is expected to save us USD 50 mn in imports and prop up our exports by USD 100 mn annually, El Sisi said at the inauguration (watch, runtime: 20:00). The return on investment for the added value of the project is estimated at USD 6 bn, NMA head Hamed Mira said.

Most of the output will be exported: There will be an expected surplus of 11k tons of zircon, and 9k tons of rutile, for example, after plugging the gap in local market, which represents a promising export opportunity, according to Ahmed Abdel Kareem, a member of EBSC’s scientific committee (watch, runtime: 9:11).

Local reserves will last us centuries: The confirmed 5 bn cubic meter reserve — spread across a 400 km coastline from Abu Qir in Alexandria to Rafah — is enough to cover some 200 years of production, Mira said. Studies from the NMA also found black sand in other areas in the south of Berenice and Lake Nasser, Mira added.

How this fits into the global production picture: The net mineral resources available for mining in the project amount to 238.5 mn tons, with an average concentration of heavy metals of 3.39%, which is sufficient to operate for a period of about 16 years, at an utilization rate of 15 mn tons annually, Al Taweel added. The project’s production of rare minerals is expected to

amount to 3-5% of global production. China currently accounts for the lion’s share of global rare earth material production, with recent estimates indicating it produces more than 90% of global rare earth output.

Global demand is driving the conversation: The global demand for minerals extracted from black sands is the biggest catalyst for the expansion of this promising mining industry, and there are some extracted minerals that are well-positioned to enter local industries, thus further increasing their added value, El Sisi explained, stressing the state’s openness to the participation of the private sector (watch, runtime: 20:00).

And now the door is open for private sector participation: El Sisi called on investors to ramp up their involvement in black sand projects, either alone or through private-public partnerships, saying that the country could see 3-4 more plants by 2025, according to Masaa DMC (watch, runtime: 4:38). Opening up more plants will create jobs and tap the state’s natural resources, Senate member Mahmoud Al Kott told Al Hayah Al Youm (watch, runtime: 9:05). The Nuclear Materials Authority is currently preparing to market the black sand projects to strategic Gulf investors, Al Mal reports.

More companies on board: The Egyptian-Chinese Black Sand Company was also established in July 2018 with an issued capital of USD 24 mn to extract rare minerals from black sands in Egypt, according to an Armed Forces statement. NSPO owns 83.5% of the company, while EBSC owns 12.5% and the Chinese-Egyptian Company for Mining and Metalworking owns 4%. NSPO is working to establish the Egyptian-Italian Company for Sustainable Technological Industries in a private freezone to produce eco-friendly Baycortz and no-silica panels, according to NSPO Director Walid Hussein.

Projects in the pipeline: EBSC contracted a German company for one of the four separate projects it’s planning to launch to enhance the added value. These projects include a factory for the production of titanium sponge and another for titanium dioxide pigment, to cover the needs of the local paint industry and export the surplus to North African and European markets, according to Abdel Kareem. The company is also studying the launch of a factory to produce titanium sponge and work is also underway to establish an industrial complex in Ain Sokhna to produce quartz slabs, the first of its kind in Egypt, Africa and the Middle East.


Your top industrial development stories for the week:

  • We have a once-a-century chance to build an export-led economy that makes us a magnet for FDI. We’ve spoken with some of the smartest people we know in the private sector, and they all agree that it’s not only possible — the recipe is simple.
  • Cabinet could introduce investment incentives for FX-backed industrial projects, through amendments to the 2017 Investment Act.
  • UAE-based El Gammal Industrial Systems will reportedly invest EGP 100 mn to set up an aluminum-parts factory in Ain Sokhna.
  • The House of Representatives approved a draft law designed to encourage the domestic production of environmentally friendly vehicles by providing incentives to businesses.

???? CALENDAR

OCTOBER

October: Air Sphinx, EgyptAir’s low-cost subsidiary to commence operations.

October: Fuel pricing committee meets to decide quarterly fuel prices.

23-25 ​​October (Sunday-Tuesday): Egypt economic conference, Cairo, Egypt.

23-25 ​​October (Sunday-Tuesday): Gas Exporting Countries Forum, Cairo.

24 October (Monday): Empowering Sustainable Trade Flows with Factoring conference, St. Regis Cairo.

26-28 October (Wednesday-Friday): Egypt celebrates 50 years of ties with the UAE.

27 October (Thursday): European Central Bank monetary policy meeting.

27-30 October (Thursday-Sunday): Cairo ICT, Egypt International Exhibition Center, New Cairo.

30 October-1 November (Sunday-Tuesday): Egypt Energy, Egypt International Exhibition Center (EIEC), New Cairo.

Late October-14 November: 3Q2022 earnings season.

Late October: First Abu Dhabi Bank to complete full integration with Bank Audi’s Egyptian operations after merger.

NOVEMBER

1-2 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

1-2 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Arab League annual summit, Algiers, Algeria.

3 November (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

3-5 November (Thursday-Saturday): Egypt Fashion Week.

4-6 November (Friday-Sunday): Autotech auto exhibition, Cairo International Exhibition and Convention Center.

6-18 November (Sunday-Friday): Egypt will host COP27 in Sharm El Sheikh.

7 November (Monday): Middle East Green Initiative, Sharm El Sheikh.

7 November (Monday): The inauguration of the first line of the high-speed rail.

9 November (Wednesday): Finance Ministry to host “Finance Day” at COP27.

11-12 November (Friday-Saturday): Saudi Green Initiative, Sharm El Sheikh.

7-13 November (Monday-Sunday): The International University Sports Federation (FISU) World University Squash Championships, New Giza.

21 November-18 December (Monday-Sunday): 2022 Fifa World Cup, Qatar.

27 – 28 November (Thursday-Friday): The first edition of the Egypt Media Forum.

DECEMBER

3 December (Saturday): Dior Men’s pre-fall collection show in Giza.

13-14 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

13-15 December (Tuesday-Thursday): US-Africa Leaders Summit.

15 December (Thursday): European Central Bank monetary policy meeting.

22 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

December: The Sixth of October dry port will begin operations.

December: Egyptian Automotive Summit.

December: Egypt to expand Sudan electricity link capacity to 300 MW.

JANUARY 2023

January: EGX-listed companies and non-bank lenders will submit ESG reports for the first time.

January: Fuel pricing committee meets to decide quarterly fuel prices.

1 January (Sunday): Use of Nafeza becomes compulsory for air freight.

1 January (Sunday): Residential electricity bills are set to rise as per the government’s six-year roadmap (pdf) to restructure electricity prices by 2025.

7 January (Saturday): Coptic Christmas.

24 January-6 February: The 54th Cairo International Book Fair, Egypt International Exhibition Center

25 January (Wednesday): 25 January revolution anniversary / Police Day.

26 January (Thursday): National holiday in observance of 25 January revolution anniversary / Police Day.

30 January-1 February (Monday-Wednesday): CI Capital’s Annual MENA Investor Conference 2023, Cairo, Egypt.

FEBRUARY 2023

11 February (Saturday): Second semester of 2022-2023 academic year begins for public universities.

13-15 February (Monday-Wednesday): The Egypt Petroleum Show (Egyps), Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo.

23-27 February (Thursday-Monday): The eighth annual Business Women of Egypt’s Women for Success conference.

MARCH 2023

March: 4Q2022 earnings season.

23 March (Wednesday): First day of Ramadan (TBC). Maghreb will be at 6:08pm CLT.

APRIL 2023

17 April (Monday): Sham El Nessim.

22 April (Saturday): Eid El Fitr (TBC).

25 April (Tuesday): Sinai Liberation Day.

27 April (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Sinai Liberation Day (TBC).

Late April – 15 May: 1Q2023 earnings season.

MAY 2023

1 May (Monday): Labor Day.

4 May (Thursday) National holiday in observance of Labor Day (TBC).

22-26 May (Monday-Friday): Egypt will host the African Development Bank (AfDB) annual meetings in Sharm El Sheikh.

JUNE 2023

19-21 June (Monday-Wednesday) Egypt Infrastructure and Water Expo debuts at the Egypt International Exhibition Center.

28 June-2 July (Wednesday-Sunday): Eid El Adha (TBC).

30 June (Friday): June 30 Revolution Day.

JULY 2023

18 July (Tuesday): Islamic New Year.

20 July (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Islamic New Year (TBC).

23 July (Sunday): Revolution Day.

27 July (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Revolution Day.

Late July-14 August: 2Q2023 earnings season.

SEPTEMBER 2023

26 September (Tuesday): Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

28 September (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

OCTOBER 2023

6 October (Friday): Armed Forces Day.

Late October-14 November: 3Q2023 earnings season.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2H 2022: The inauguration of the Grand Egyptian Museum.

2H 2022: IEF-IGU Ministerial Gas Forum, Egypt. Date + location TBA.

2H 2022: The government will have vaccinated 70% of the population.

3Q 2022: Ayady’s consumer financing arm, The Egyptian Company for Consumer Finance Services, to release its first financing product.

3Q 2022: Swvl to close acquisition of Urbvan Mobility.

4Q 2022: Infinity + Africa Finance Corporation to close acquisition of Lekela Power.

4Q 2022: Electricity Ministry to tender six solar projects in Aswan Governorate.

4Q2022: Raya Holding subsidiary Aman and Qalaa Holdings’ Taqa Arabia to launch their fintech company.

4Q 2022: Saudi Jamjoom Pharma to inaugurate its EGP 1 bn pharma factory in El Obour.

End of 2022: Decent Life first phase scheduled for completion.

End of 2022: e-Aswaaq’s tourism platform will complete the roll out of its ticketing and online booking portal across Egypt.

2023: Egypt will host the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank’s Annual Meeting of the Board of Governors in 2023.

1Q 2023: Adnoc Distribution’s acquisition of 50% of TotalEnergies Egypt to close.

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

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