Sunday, 5 March 2023

PM — Say goodbye to the heatwave

TL;DR

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

Good afternoon, wonderful people. We’re getting the week started on a Goldilocks type of day, wherein the news flow is neither mind-numbingly slow, nor is it particularly heavy.

THE BIG STORY TODAY

Activity in Egypt’s non-oil private sector contracted at a slower pace in February, according to S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index (pdf). February’s PMI reading came in at 46.9, rising from 45.5 the previous month but remaining in contraction territory for the 27th month in a row. The month saw cost inflation cooling, although “output levels continued to contract at a sharp pace” amid weak consumer demand.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

Still leading the front pages of the international business press this afternoon is China setting a modest economic growth target of 5%, following three years of slow growth on the back of covid-19 and a prolonged slump in its property sector: CNBC | Reuters | Wall Street Journal | Financial Times

HAPPENING NOW- Iraqi PM arrives in Egypt: Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani landed in Cairo today in his first visit to Egypt since he took office last October, according to a cabinet statement. Al Sudani is scheduled to discuss with Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly proposals on ways to strengthen ties between the two countries.

** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • A new program of public-sector wage hikes, pension increases + tax breaks as inflation toll mounts: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi announced a new round of public-sector wage and pension hikes designed to mitigate the impact of soaring inflation on the public
  • Egytrans wants NOSCO: Transport player Egytrans expects to wrap a majority acquisition of trucking firm National Company for Transportation and Overseas Services (NOSCO) before the end of 1H 2023
  • Sawiris partners with local, Emirati players to redevelop Morocco hotel. Samih Sawiris is leading the redevelopment in Morocco of the Mogador resort in Morocco’s Essaouira in a drive worth upwards of MAD 4 bn.

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*** It’s Inside Industry day — your weekly briefing of all things industrial in Egypt. Inside Industry focuses each Sunday on what it takes to turn Egypt into a manufacturing and export powerhouse, ranging from initial investment and planning to product distribution, through to land allocation to industrial processes, supply chain management, labor, automation and technology, inputs and exports, regulation and policy.

In today’s issue: The government has taken a number of steps in recent months to reduce our reliance on imports and cut down on the trade deficit. How effective have their efforts been? Today’s Inside Industry looks at these new changes and how they’ve affected export growth.

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We are delighted to share with you that the Enterprise Exports & FDI Forum will be taking place on Monday, 15 May at the Four Seasons Hotel at Nile Plaza.

DO YOU WANT TO ATTEND? The first wave of invites is going out soon. If you’re a C-suite exec, exporter, investor, official, banker, or someone who should be part of the conversation, please TAP OR CLICK HERE to request a spot at this exclusive event.

What’s the Enterprise Exports & FDI Forum? It is the latest in our series of must-attend, invitation-only gatherings for C-suite-level business leaders. The Enterprise Exports & FDI Forum will discuss the critical topics of exports and foreign direct investment (FDI) in Egypt.

We will be taking an in-depth look into some of the most vital industry topics, including:

  • How to effectively break into new export markets
  • How to leverage domestic trends in order to create export opportunities
  • What foreign investors are looking for
  • What the government’s role should be

Why now? Exports and foreign direct investment (FDI) have never been more important to our economy — or our businesses — than in the wake of the float of the EGP. We think we have a once-in-a-lifetime chance to build an export-led economy that makes us a magnet for FDI, and all the benefits that will come with it for our nation.

Think of the Enterprise Exports & FDI Forum as a hands-on lab for how to turn the devaluation of the EGP into something that will turbocharge your company and our economy.

WANT TO ATTEND? Hit this link to let us know.

WANT TO SHARE YOUR STORY ON STAGE? Drop a note to Patrick here and let’s talk.

WANT TO BECOME A COMMERCIAL PARTNER? Ping a note to Moustafa, our head of commercial, here.

???? CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

We have a date for CIFF: The Cairo International Film Festival (CIFF) will kick off at the Cairo Opera House on Wednesday 15 November and run through to Friday 24 November, the festival’s admins said in a statement last week.

Thanaweya Amma exam schedules are out: Thanaweya Amma exams are scheduled to take place between 12 June and 15 July, the Education Ministry said last month.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Au revoir, heatwave: Expect a pleasant daytime high of 24°C tomorrow and a nighttime low of 12°C, according to our favorite weather app.

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FOR YOUR COMMUTE

Space oddities unlikely: Leading astrobiologists believe that simple life is widespread across the universe — but more advanced intelligent life is less likely, reports the Financial Times. The claims come from scientists forming the Origins Federation, a scientific collaboration for research on the emergence and early evolution of life on Earth and its presence in the cosmos, established last week. Several of the scientists in the Origins Federation are conducting research on the development of alien life forms using our own early evolutionary emergence as a starting point. “Chemistry is itching to make life,” but that doesn’t ensure survival, said one federation member. Intelligent life equipped with advanced technologies might tend to destroy itself: “As you get more knowledge, it becomes easier to destroy yourself,” says the federation’s leader Didier Queloz.

Life is embedded into the laws of physics of the universe, says Queloz, a co-discoverer of the first known exoplanet — a planet orbiting a star other than our sun. Since the discovery in the 1990s, more than 5k exoplanets have been identified — a game changer providing a diverse range of biosignatures for scientists to study.


A focus on women’s rights is China’s latest endeavor to boost falling birth rates in the country, which plummeted last year to an all-time low of 6.77 births per 1k people, Reuters reports. Members of China’s top political body have been proposing a host of incentives to boost population growth, including allowing unmarried women to access fertility services like egg freezing, enabling them to register newborns, providing education without charge to families with a third child born after 2024, and expanding maternity and paternity leaves to facilitate co-parenting.

The culprit behind China’s shrinking population? China’s one child policy, which was implemented between 1980 and 2015. The strict policy subjected mns of women to forced contraception, abortion, and sterilization, imposing hefty fines on families that broke the rules. Even now that the policy has been scrapped, couples are more likely to have fewer children due to high childcare and education costs, Reuters reports.

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ENTERPRISE RECOMMENDS

???? ON THE TUBE TONIGHT-
(all times CLT)

Feeling nostalgic? Indulge in a rewatch of Ugly Betty: The 2006 dramedy is a 2000s staple known for its questionable fashion choices, over the top drama, and mockery of the fashion world. The series stars America Ferrera as Betty Suarez, aka Ugly Betty, along her ensemble cast including Vanessa Williams and Eric Mabius. The four-season show takes its audience into the cruel fashion world and the very out-of-place protagonist's adventures as she navigates her way through in hopes of making it big as a journalist. Despite its at times obscure storyline, it makes for the perfect comfort show, with its lovable characters and their overlapping lives.

⚽ The biggest rivalry in the English Premier League kicks off at 6:30pm: English football giants Liverpool and Manchester United will go head-to-head this evening in the most anticipated match this game week in the English Premier League. Regardless of where the two teams currently stand on the league table, this particular match has special historical significance. While Man Utd is trying to close the gap with neighbors and rivals Man City for second place, Liverpool needs the three points to pass Newcastle and compete for the Champions League qualifying spots. Also today: Nottingham Forest will play Everton shortly after we hit dispatch at 4pm.

Join the Enterprise Fantasy League for a chance to earn a special prize. To join the action, click here or enter this code 8o4sut.

The most notable European league matches today:

Barcelona v Valencia (5:15pm)

Real Betis v Real Madrid (10pm)

Inter Milan v Lecce (7pm)

Roma v Juventus (9:45pm)

And on the home front, Haras El Hodood will face Ceramica Cleopatra at 6pm in Gameweek 21 of the Egyptian Premier League.

????EAT THIS TONIGHT-

Craving Italian? La Pizza Alforno is the spot for you: Located in Street 88 Palm Hills and City Stars, La Pizza Alforno offers a great variety of Italian dishes and delicious wood-fired pizzas. The Chicken Alfredo Pasta is especially delicious — the chicken is tender and succulent, and the pasta is cooked to perfection with just the right amount of sauce. The Shrimp Truffle Pizza is also excellent and unique with a thin and crispy dough, while the truffle topping provides an earthy flavor that plays beautifully against the sweetness of shrimp. The zucchini fries are a great side dish — they have a light crunch on the outside and are full of flavor on the inside. And finally: Panna Cotta for dessert offers up silky smooth creaminess infused with subtle notes of vanilla and Lotus spread; one bite won’t be enough.

???? OUT AND ABOUT-
(all times CLT)

Gen Z and the arts: Ubuntu Art Gallery will host an engaging discussion at 6pm tonight about the traits and trends of the Gen Z creative voices emerging from Egypt. Mahmoud Talaat, Karim El Hayawan, and Farida Youssef will each offer their perspectives.

She Arts Orchestra will take center stage at AUC Tahir Cultural Center this Tuesday at 8pm. The night will feature two renowned soloists — Manal Mohie Eldain from Egypt on harp and Ginevra Rizzi from Italy as soprano — all under the baton of Italian conductor Isabella Ambrosini.

Experience a musical fusion of spiritual and cultural traditions this Wednesday at 7pm with Abu Al Gheit Ensemble a unique amalgamation of Sufi and Zar traditions rooted in the Delta of Egypt. The mystical sounds originate from Tariqa Ahmadiyya Gitaniyya, a sufi order founded by dervish Hassan Abu al-Gait at the dawn of 19th century. The live show will be held at Al Sehemy House‎.

One night, two brilliant performances at Cairo Jazz Club 610: Ahmad El Haggar and Wust El Balad will take the stage this Wednesday at 9pm for a fusion of classical Egyptian sounds infused with jazz & neo soul from the former, as well as upbeat indie pop hits from the latter.

Get ready to be inspired by some of Egypt's most talented female artists with Art d’Egypte’s Kaon exhibition at the Arts’ Hub in Zamalek. Taking place from this Thursday, 9 March through Thursday, 23 March, the exhibition is held in celebration of International Women's Day.

Catch Cirque du Soleil’s OVO next month: The event features 100 performers taking the stage with their acrobatic acts. OVO will host 16 shows between 8-18 March at Cairo international Stadium Hall, courtesy of real estate developer Madinet Nasr for Housing and Development (pdf).

???? UNDER THE LAMPLIGHT-

The Sudanese civil war retold in A Long Walk To Water. The short novel follows two parallel timelines, both based on true stories — the stories of Salva Dut in 1985 and Nya in 2008. Dut is a young boy who gets separated from his family during the Sudanese civil war, spending weeks on the run in hopes to find his family again until he reaches a refugee camp in Ethiopia. Dut spends the remainder of his childhood in the camp until he is relocated to New York to live with an American family and from there the two timelines connect and the story comes full circle. The short novel is a peek into the struggles of the Sudanese who witnessed the civil war, the losses they endured, and the sacrifices they had to make.

GO WITH THE FLOW

MARKET NEWS-

Domty’s net income increased 267% y-o-y to EGP 265.7 mn in 2022, according to a disclosure (pdf). Revenues reached EGP 5.2 bn in 2022, rising 55.3% y-o-y.


MARKET ROUNDUP-

The EGX30 fell 0.1% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 1.39 bn (31.5% below the 90-day average). Local investors were net buyers. The index is up 15.3% YTD.

In the green: Telecom Egypt (+7.7%), Sidi Kerir Petrochemicals (+1.9%) and Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank (+1.0%).

In the red: Madinet Nasr Housing and Development (-2.3%), Qalaa Holdings (-2.2%) and GB Auto (-1.8%).

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How are the state efforts to boost exports playing out? The government has been working to increase exports over the past several months in a bid to narrow our trade deficit and reduce the country’s reliance on imports. To that end, the government launched a series of new initiatives and has been working to support individual sectors’ contribution to the country’s export portfolio. Today, we take a look at how these efforts have panned out and the extent to which they have managed to achieve the desired outcome.

REMEMBER- The government is aiming to increase exports to USD 100 bn a year by the middle of the decade and reduce dependency on imported products. The state has identified nine sectors to focus on, including food, textiles, pharma and metals.

Our exports at a glance: Egyptian non-oil exports rose 10% y-o-y in 2022, recording USD 35.6 bn from the USD 32.3 bn in 2021, according to figures from cabinet and the General Organization for Export and Import Control (GOEIC). This increase in exports was led by chemicals and building materials, followed by textiles and engineering products. Our oil exports also saw a significant increase to record USD 18.2 bn for the year from USD 12.9 in 2021.

The state has been lending exporters a hand with subsidy arrears: The Export Development Fund has so far paid EGP 42.5 bn in overdue subsidies to 2.5k exporters under its export subsidy program, which allows exporters to receive their subsidies in a single payment rather than in installments over four to five years, in return for a haircut.

The Madbouly government has been working overtime to boost exports, having introduced a number of initiatives and funding programs to push industrial sectors to step into new markets. The government has also inked a number of trade agreements to enhance the presence of Egyptian products in global markets.

Enter the Ezdhar Program: German development agency GIZ kicked off the Ezdhar Program last year in cooperation with the Trade Ministry, the Alexandria Business Association, Export Council for Chemical Industries, and a number of other associations and government bodies.

About the program: The program’s current cycle, which kicked off earlier this month, is targeting some 34 local companies operating in the printing and packaging and chemical sectors with the aim of developing them and helping them step into new markets, GIZ said in a statement. The program aims to aid more than 80 Egyptian companies in the aforementioned sectors as well as the engineering sector.

Ezdhar is expected to help the chemical sector grow: Fertilizer exports grew 187% y-o-y last year, as Egypt rose as Russia’s replacement for fertilizer exports upon global demand, Export Council for Chemical Industries and Fertilizers head Khaled Aboul Makarem told Enterprise, adding that he is expecting the sector to grow even further as it taps new markets, with the help of the Ezdhar program. The program is working to push SMEs to up their production for the sake of exporting them.

Our chemical exports in numbers: Chemical exports increased 150% y-o-y to sit at USD 8.7 bn in 2022 — a figure the government is looking to push up to USD 10 bn within the coming two years, About Makarem said. The sector is mainly looking at African markets and preparing to amp up its exports there through establishing storage units in Kenya, Tanzania, and Senegal, he told Enterprise.

The state has also launched EXXA to award the country’s top exporters: The Trade Ministry and the Engineering Export Council launched the Engineering Export Excellence Award (EXXA) last year with the aim of recognizing the country’s best performing exporters. The award’s first run recognized nine exporters, while the second run recognized 18 from 90 applicants — including Samsung, El Araby Group, Fresh Electric, and Kiriazi. EXXA honors companies that have played a significant role in increasing the volume of exports despite the many challenges currently standing in the way of our export targets.

It’s part of a bigger plan to create an export community that brings together exporters operating in various sectors and of various sizes and create a competitive environment in efforts to boost exports, head of the Engineering Export Council Sherif El Sayad told us.

Engineering industries exports saw unprecedented numbers last year, recording USD 3.8 bn, up around 10% from 2021’s USD 3.5 bn, buoyed by a 25.6% y-o-y increase in cable exports, El Sayad said.

Increasing food exports is also on the agenda: The Food Export Council has launched an initiative aimed at setting export standards for food industries and creating a new generation of exporters.

Our food exports remained more or less flat last year — but could benefit from more marketing: Egyptian food industries exports sat at USD 4.1 bn in 2022 and the council is working on increasing that number through supporting SMEs, Food Export Council head Hani Berzi told Enterprise. Berzi called on authorities to allocate the needed budget to launch a promotional campaign to advertise Egyptian foods, adding that this will play a significant role in supporting our food exports, increase our presence in the targeted markets.

Despite the state’s tireless efforts, exporters are still facing a lot of challenges, our sources tell us. The state needs to intervene and fix costs that include transportation, electricity, and other expenses that may hinder players from reaching their full export potential, Aboul Makarem said.

THE ENTERPRISE ENTERTAINMENT CALENDAR

MARCH

23 February-11 March (Monday-Saturday): Diarna Exhibition, Cairo Festival City Mall, New Cairo.

8-18 March (Wednesday-Saturday): Cirque du Soleil’s OVO, Cairo international Stadium Hall.

15 March (Wednesday): Season 3 of Ted Lasso will be out on Apple TV.

23 March (Wednesday): First day of Ramadan (TBC). Maghreb will be at 6:08pm CLT.

APRIL

16 April (Sunday): Coptic Easter

17 April (Monday): Sham El Nessim.

21-26 April (Friday-Wednesday): LaLiga Egypt Football Camp, Xanadu Hotel, Makadi Bay, Hurghada.

22 April (Saturday): Eid El Fitr (TBC).

25 April (Tuesday): Sinai Liberation Day.

27 April (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Sinai Liberation Day (TBC).

MAY

1 May (Monday): Labor Day.

1 May (Monday): Backstreet Boys at 7pm, ZED East, New Cairo.

4 May (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Labor Day (TBC).

JUNE

10 June (Saturday): Thanaweya Amma examinations begin.

28 June-2 July (Wednesday-Sunday): Eid El Adha (TBC).

30 June (Friday): June 30 Revolution Day.

JULY

18 July (Tuesday): Islamic New Year.

20 July (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Islamic New Year (TBC).

23 July (Sunday): Revolution Day.

27 July (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Revolution Day.

SEPTEMBER

26 September (Tuesday): Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

28 September (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

OCTOBER

6 October (Friday): Armed Forces Day.

13 October- 20 October (Friday-Friday): The sixth edition of El Gouna Film Festival (GFF).

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

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