Wednesday, 26 January 2022

PM — Happy long weekend, boys and girls

TL;DR

???? WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

Good afternoon, friends, and happy Thursday-equivalent. Stay bundled up this weekend, although the piercing cold is expected to get just a touch more bearable.

THE BIG STORIES TODAY

OIH closes sale of its Pakistan subsidiary: Orascom Investment Holding has offloaded its entire stake in Pakistan internet subsidiary Transworld Associates (TWA) in a USD 35 mn (c. EGP 550 mn) transaction, according to a company statement (pdf). Last year, the company announced plans to sell its entire 51% stake in TWA, Pakistan’s only internet service provider and owner of a 1.3k km submarine cable connecting the UAE, Oman and Pakistan.

Raya subsidiary Aman and Qalaa Holdings’ Taqa Arabia are setting up a new energy joint venture through which they will invest EGP 300 mn in the next three years, the two companies announced at a presser today, according to Hapi Journal. The new JV is expected to begin operations in 1H2022.

HAPPENING NOW-

President Abdel Fattah El Sisi is in the UAE today to meet with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed, according to an Ittihadiya statement. The pair will discuss bilateral cooperation, and regional security and stability. This comes a day after El Sisi met with Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune here in Cairo to discuss the situations in Libya and Palestine.

** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • It’s privatization, the speed-metal version: The Madbouly government is planning to sell stakes in state-owned companies every month or two, said Planning Minister Hala El Said.
  • Egypt bucks the trend as IMF downgrades global growth: The IMF downgraded its projection for global growth in 2022 to 4.4% in its World Economic Outlook update, down 0.5 percentage points from its last outlook report in October, while revising upwards its growth forecast for Egypt to 5.6% in FY2021-2022.

The Cairo International Book Fair kicked off today at the Egypt International Exhibition Center, after Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly and Culture Minister Enas Abdel Dayem inaugurated the fair, according to a statement. Members of the public will be allowed to enter without providing proof of vaccination, the Culture Ministry said last week. The two-week event runs through to 7 February.

Also happening today, the US Federal Reserve is on the second and final day of its Open Market Committee meeting, at the end of which it is widely expected to confirm that it will begin raising interest rates in March. The markets are currently pricing in four 0.25-percentage-point interest rate hikes this year, in what would be the bank’s most aggressive tightening cycle in decades as it tries to get a hold on inflation.

IN MEMORIAM- Former editor-in-chief of Akhbar El Yom Yasser Rizk passed away at the age of 57 from a heart attack, the state-owned newspaper reports. Rizk, who had a storied journalistic career, also recently released a book titled “The Years of the Khamaseen: Between Anger in January and Salvation in June,” chronicling details of the period between the January 25 Revolution and the overthrow of Islamist president Mohamed Morsi in July 2013.

KUDOS- Our friends at Etisalat was named the strongest telecom brand in the world in 2022 by Brand Finance, becoming the first company out of the MEA region to take the title, according to a press release (pdf). With a portfolio of USD 12.5 bn, the company retained its position MEA’s most valuable telecom portfolio as well as the strongest brand across all categories in the region. Brand Finance also included Group CEO Hatem Dowidar to the Elite List of Brand Guardians globally, with Dowidar jumping 4 places compared to last year’s ranking.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

Picking up where we left off this morning, the global press is still fixating on the prospect of Europe facing a cold winter without Russian gas supplies. Carbon pricing in Europe is at a seven-week high as the continent could be forced to switch to dirtier fuel sources than natural gas, of which Russia is Europe’s main supplier, as tensions over Ukraine continue to mount, Bloomberg reports. Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani is due in Washington, DC next Monday to discuss, among other things, “ensuring the stability of global energy supplies,” the White House said. Qatar, which is one of the world’s biggest natgas producers, has previously signaled it wouldn’t be able to step in to fill a supply gap.

Meanwhile, US President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin are in a war of words over sanctions that the US is threatening to slap on Russia, with Biden telling reporters yesterday he could consider imposing personal sanctions on Putin. Moscow shook off the threats, saying sanctions against Putin would be “politically destructive” but would not affect him personally. Reuters and Bloomberg have the story.

???? CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

Startups have until next Sunday, 30 January to apply for the spring 2022 cycle of EGBank’s Mint Incubator. The incubator offers two tracks: A sector-agnostic track for startups at the MVP stage, and a fintech track that accepts early-stage startups both at the ideation and MVP stages. Main founders must be between 16-35 years old. You can apply here.

OPEC+ will meet next Wednesday, 2 February to decide on another modest oil production increase, hiking supply by 400k bbl / day in March, unnamed officials tell Bloomberg. Planned production increases by the cartel have so far failed to meet the recovery in demand as several member countries struggle to up their output. The potential tightening of the oil market has pushed prices to a seven-year high and Brent could breach the USD 100 / bbl mark this year unless supply is increased.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- The cold front will slightly ease during the long weekend: Expect daytime highs in the range of 14-16°C in the coming three days while nighttime lows will be between 6-8°C, our favorite weather app tells us.

???? FOR YOUR COMMUTE

The median inventory of chips at chip-reliant US companies fell to less than five days in 2021 as stocks fell to precarious levels, from around 40 days pre-pandemic according to the US Commerce Department. The thin inventories are of concern as a single shutdown or delay in any company could result in disruptions along the supply chain, leading the Commerce Department to push for the approval of the Innovation and Competition Act, which includes USD 52 bn to boost domestic chip production. Hyundai had said earlier this week that the company expects an increase in semiconductor supply in 2Q2022.

Heirs of iconic Spanish artist Pablo Picasso are selling his art as NFTs, the Associated Press. The family will sell 1,010 digital art pieces of one of his ceramic works that had been hidden away from the public eye as a family heirloom at a Sotheby’s auction in March that will include a unique NFT as well as the actual ceramic bowl that dates back to 1958. The NFTs will also come with music put together by his great-grandson Florian Picasso, who is a DJ and music producer, along with songwriter John Legend and rapper Nas.

Disney+ is coming to Egypt this summer, when the streaming service is expected to launch in 42 new countries and 11 territories, according to a statement (pdf). The streaming service will bring its “exclusive content and thousands of episodes and movies from Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, National Geographic and general entertainment from Star” to 16 MENA countries, as well as a handful of other nations in Europe and Africa.

YOUR MANDATORY COVID UPDATE- The next variant will likely be even more contagious than omicron, with covid expected to continue mutating before settling into a pattern WHO officials said yesterday (watch, runtime: 54:42). It’s still not clear, however, whether the next iteration of the virus will be more deadly, although it will likely evade vaccine protections, the officials said. Eventually, covid could become endemic, turning into a virus that is seasonal or only affects vulnerable groups, with occasional flare-ups.

Hopefully we can get omicron under control first with a new omicron-specific jab: Pfizer and BioNTech have started clinical trials of a new omicron-specific vaccine, testing it as a booster jab as well as three separate shots in unvaccinated people, according to a press release. The vaccine race is on, as Moderna is planning to begin trials of its own omicron-specific shot soon while Oxford University and AstraZeneca have also started working on a new version of their vaccine, writes the BBC.

???? ENTERPRISE RECOMMENDS

A truthful portrayal of those on the autism spectrum + Customers are in charge and businesses better get on board + Egypt is up against Ivory Coast in Afcon

???? ON THE TUBE TONIGHT-

(all times CLT)

As We See It follows three young autistic adults in their 20s: The new Amazon Prime series centers on roommates Jack, Harrison, and Violet. The three characters — and the actors who portray them — are all on the autism spectrum. With the support of family, friends, aides, and each other, the trio strives to establish independent lives, get jobs, make friends and fall in love. Show creator Jason Katims (Friday Night Lights, Parenthood) makes sure the series is thoughtful and deeply empathetic, giving a truthful portrayal of life with autism, inspired by his own son who falls on the spectrum, writes First Post. He avoids defining the three roommates by their condition alone, instead focusing on their likes and dislikes, fears, challenges, workplaces, and aspirations — giving them all depth and ensuring that viewers feel a connection with each character.

AFCON- It’s the Pharaohs’ turn to fight for a place in the quarter-finals of Afcon 2021 tonight. Egypt and Côte d’Ivoire will meet for the first time in 14 years tonight in the penultimate last-16 game of the round. Having only scored two goals in their three group games, Egypt are going to need to find their shooting boots if they’re going to get past the Ivorians, who scored six in an arguably tougher group.

Kick off: 6:00pm CLT.

Who will Egypt / Côte d’Ivoire face in the quarters? Beating Côte d’Ivoire would set Egypt up for a quarter-final tie with Morocco, who beat Malawi 2-1 last night to secure their place in the last eight.

The last two seats in the round of 8 will also be determined today with a match between Mali and Equatorial Guinea at 9pm. The victor will compete against Senegal who yesterday beat Cape Verde 2-0.

The round of 8 of the Afcon begins on Saturday with two matches: Gambia will compete against Cameroon at 6pm, then Burkina Faso will play against Tunisia at 9pm.

Tomorrow in the Egyptian League Cup: El Gouna will host the National Bank and Al Mokawaloon will face Ismaily, both tomorrow at 2:30pm. Smouha will meet Al Ahly at 5pm. The cup matches will continue on Friday, as Enppi plays against Al Gaish and Ghazl El Mahalla with Pharco at 2:30pm, while Ceramica Cleopatra plays El Zamalek at 5 pm.

Brazil will go out to face Ecuador at 11pm tomorrow in the South American qualifiers for the World Cup. Meanwhile Chile hosts Argentina at 2:15am on Friday morning.

What’s been going on in the transfer market this week? Manchester City has signed Julián Álvarez in a EUR 18.5 mn transaction with the player’s former club River Plate, according to football market guru Fabrizio Romano. Álvarez will stay with River on loan until July before heading to Man City under a five-year contract. Sevilla has signed Manchester United Anthony Martial forward on loan until the end of the season, according to Sky Sports. Juventus and Barcelona had both eyed the player as well, but Martial opted for Sevilla in search of more game time. Martial has a market value of EUR 32 mn. Also in La Liga, Jeremie Bogahas joined Atalanta, leaving behind Sassuolo in a EUR 18 mn transaction, reports Football Italia.

???? OUT AND ABOUT-

(all times CLT)

Easykash Managing Director Mourad Al Ashry is giving a talk at Consoleya today at 6:30pm as part of the Startup Series. The talk is titled “Tech For Non-Techies,” which targets business founders without a tech background to teach them to build their own digital tools and communicate with techies.

Contemporary dance performance Ambororo is on at Startup Haus Cairo on Saturday at 8pm. The dance aims to depict seeing life from a broader perspective.

Ubuntu Gallery is opening an exhibition of oriental carpets called The Weaver's Palette II. The exhibit will run until 8 February.

???? UNDER THE LAMPLIGHT-

Customers are in charge in the new “metail” economy: Joel Bines argues that digitally empowered consumers have altered the traditional power dynamics of retail in his new book The Metail Economy. These consumers demand a voice and sometimes even a hand in creating new products, making it necessary for firms to immerse their customers in the brand and allowing them to shape it. Companies need to recognize consumers’ “me-centric” aspect and build on it, in order to survive in the new economy. Bines suggests the six “Cs” are how to best serve highly-informed and empowered consumers: Curation, Customization, Category Expertise, Cost, Convenience, Community — all of which should be used to various degrees to ensure business success during the “woke” revolution.

???? GO WITH THE FLOW

Market roundup on 26 January

The EGX30 fell 0.4% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 628 mn (44.5% below the 90-day average). Local investors were net buyers. The index is down 3.8% YTD.

In the green: Madinet Nasr Housing (+3.0%), Pioneers Properties (+2.5%) and Egypt Kuwait Holding-EGP (+2.4%).

In the red: MM Group (-5.6%), Orascom Development Egypt (-4.8%) and Fawry (-3.1%).

???? CALENDAR

1Q2022: Launch of the Egyptian Commodities Exchange.

1Q2022: Swvl acquisition of Viapool expected to close.

1Q2022: Waste collection startup Bekia plans to expand to the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

1Q2022: Rameda Pharma will begin selling its generic version of Merck’s oral antiviral covid-19 med.

1Q2022: Pharos Energy’s sale of 55% stake in El Fayum, Beni Suef concessions to IPR Energy Group subsidiary IPR Lake Qarun expected to close.

Early 2022: Results to be announced for the second round of the state’s gold and precious metals auction.

1H2022: Target date for IDH to close its acquisition of 50% of Islamabad Diagnostic Center.

1H2022: e-Finance’s digital healthcare service platform, eHealth, will launch its services.

1H2022: The government will respond to private companies’ bids to build desalination plants.

1H2022: Egypt’s second corporate green bond issuance expected to be announced.

January: Sovereign Sukuk Act executive regulations expected to be finalized.

January: Tenth of Ramadan dry port tender to be launched.

January: Three-month trial period of ACI for air freight to begin.

9 January – 6 February (Sunday-Sunday): 2021 Africa Cup of Nations, Cameroon.

Second half of January: Egypt will host the Egyptian-Bahraini Joint Committee.

Second half of January: Regulations for installing EV charging stations will be published.

25 January – 1 February (Tuesday-Tuesday): EGX will open over the counter transactions for the National Bank of Kuwait.

25-26 January (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

26 January (Wednesday): Climathon Giza 2022.

27 January-7 February (Thursday-Monday): Cairo International Book Fair, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

27 January (Thursday): National holiday in observance of 25 January revolution anniversary / Police Day.

30-31 January (Sunday-Monday): Ins. Federation of Egypt medical ins. forum.

30 January (Sunday): Apparent deadline for the Egyptian government to meet human rights-related conditions to unlock USD 130 mn in frozen US aid.

End of January: The Egyptian-Romanian business forum will take place with the aim of strengthening joint investment relations.

January-February 2022: Construction work on the Abu Qir metro upgrade will begin.

February: Hassan Allam Construction’s new construction firm established with Russia’s Titan-2 to handle construction work on the Dabaa nuclear power plant begins its operations.

February: Ghazl El Mahalla shares will begin trading on the EGX this month.

February: Suez canal transit fees set to increase 6%, exempting cruise ships and LNG carriers.

Mid-February: End of grace period to comply with new minimum wage for firms who sent in exemption requests.

Mid-February: A Hungarian delegation will arrive in Egypt for talks over a potential investment in an industrial area in the SCZone.

2 February (Wednesday): OPEC+ will meet to decide on another 400k oil production increase a day for March.

3 February (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

3 February (Thursday): January PMI figures for Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE will be released.

4-20 February (Friday-Sunday): 2022 Winter Olympics, Beijing.

11 February (Friday): Deadline for Anghami SPAC merger.

11-13 February (Friday-Sunday) FIBA Intercontinental Cup, Cairo.

14-16 February (Monday-Wednesday): Egypt Petroleum Show, Egypt International Exhibition Center, New Cairo, Egypt.

14-19 February (Monday- Saturday): An art exhibition created by marginalized children will be held at Townhouse Gallery. The event is organized by the Sawiris Foundation for Social Development, AlexBank, Townhouse Gallery, Al Ismaelia for Real Estate Investment, and Ubuntu Art Gallery.

15 February (Tuesday): The Industrial Development Authority’s deadline for receiving offers from companies for licenses to manufacture steel products.

15 February (Tuesday): Orange Ventures’ deadline to receive applications from seed-stage fintech startups.

19 February (Saturday): Public universities begin the second term of the 2021-2022 academic year.

19-21 February (Saturday-Monday): Nebu Expo for Gold and Jewelry 2022.

21 February (Monday): Hearing at Cairo Economic Court (pdf) on FRA lawsuits filed against Speed Medical.

26 February (Saturday): Speed Medical will elect a new board during ordinary general assembly (pdf).

https://enterprise.press/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Speed-Medical-statement_190122.pdf

End of February: Lebanon to receive gas from Egypt via a pipeline crossing Jordan and Syria.

March: Rollout of the government financial management information system (GFMIS), a suite of electronic tools to automate the government’s financial management processes (pdf) that will replace the existing “closed” financial management system.

March: 4Q2021 earnings season.

March: Deadline for the World Health Organization’s intergovernmental negotiating body to meet to discuss binding treaty on future pandemic cooperation.

March: World Cup playoffs.

March: The government hopes to sign a final contract between El Nasr Automotive and a new partner for the local production of electric cars.

March: Target date for Saudi tech firm Brmaja to IPO on the EGX.

March: Egypt to host World Tourism Organization Middle East committee meeting.

9-18 March (Wednesday-Friday): The 55th edition of the Cairo International Fair.

15-16 March (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

24 March (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

28-29 March (Monday-Tuesday): The Egypt International Mining Show (EIMS 2022) will take place virtually.

31 March (Thursday): Deadline for submitting tax returns for individual taxpayers.

31 March (Thursday): Vodacom purchase of Vodafone Group’s stake in Vodafone Egypt expected to be completed by this date.

31 March (Thursday): Supply Ministry expected to take final decision on bread subsidies by this date.

2 April (Saturday): First day of Ramadan (TBC).

3 April (Sunday): Bidding begins on the Industrial Development Authority’s license to manufacture tobacco products.

4 April (Monday): CDC Group will formally change its name to British International Investment.

22-24 April (Friday-Sunday): World Bank-IMF spring meeting, Washington D.C.

24 April (Sunday): Coptic Easter Sunday (holiday for Coptic Christians).

25 April (Monday): Sham El Nessim.

25 April (Monday): Sinai Liberation Day.

28 April (Thursday): National Holiday in observance of Sham El Nessim.

30 April (Saturday): Deadline for submitting corporate tax returns for companies whose financial year ends 31 December.

Late April – 15 May: 1Q2022 earnings season

May: Investment in Logistics Conference, Cairo, Egypt.

1 May (Sunday): Labor Day.

3-4 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

5 May (Thursday): National Holiday in observance of Labor Day.

2 May (Monday): Eid El Fitr (TBC).

19 May (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

14-15 June (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

15-18 June (Wednesday-Saturday): St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF), St. Petersburg.

16 June (Thursday): End of 2021-2022 academic year for public schools.

23 June (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

27 June-3 July (Monday-Sunday): World University Squash Championships, New Giza.

30 June (Thursday): June 30 Revolution Day, national holiday.

End of 2Q2022: The Financial Regulatory Authority’s new Ins. Act should be approved.

End of 1H2022: Emirati industrial company M Glory Holding and the Military Production Ministry will begin the mass production of dual fuel pickup trucks that can run on natural gas.

2H2022: The inauguration of the Grand Egyptian Museum.

2H2022: IEF-IGU Ministerial Gas Forum, Egypt. Date + location TBA.

July: A law governing ins. for seasonal contractors will come into effect.

1 July (Friday): FY 2022-2023 begins.

8 July (Friday): Arafat Day.

9-13 July (Saturday-Wednesday): Eid Al Adha, national holiday.

26-27 July (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

30 July (Saturday): Islamic New Year.

Late July – 14 August: 2Q2022 earnings season.

18 August (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

September: Egypt will display its first naval exhibition with the title Naval Power.

20-21 September (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

22 September (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

6 October (Thursday): Armed Forces Day, national holiday.

8 October (Saturday): Prophet Muhammad’s birthday, national holiday.

18-20 October(Tuesday-Thursday): Mediterranean Offshore Conference, Alexandria, Egypt.

Late October – 14 November: 3Q2022 earnings season.

November: Cairo Water Week 2022.

1-2 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

3 November (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

21 November-18 December (Monday-Sunday): 2022 Fifa World Cup, Qatar.

13-14 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

22 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

End of 2022: e-Aswaaq’s tourism platform will complete the roll out of its ticketing and online booking portal across Egypt.

January 2023: EGX-listed companies and non-bank lenders will submit ESG reports for the first time.

**Note to readers: Some national holidays may appear twice above. Since 2020, Egypt has observed most mid-week holidays on Thursdays regardless of the day on which they fall and may also move those days to Sundays. We distinguish above between the actual holiday and its observance.

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

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