Back to the complete issue
Tuesday, 5 January 2021

What we’re tracking on 5 January 2021

Good morning, friends, and welcome to a particularly busy Tuesday on this holiday-shortened week.

Two big stories are vying for your attention here at home:

#1- Meet our natural-gas-powered future. The domestic press features wall-to-wall coverage of the Sisi administration’s drive to convert the nation’s cars, trucks and buses to run on cleaner-burning natural gas — which we just happen to have in abundance. The multi-bn EGP initiative includes subsidized funding from the Central Bank of Egypt to help roll out a national network of filling stations, convert qualifying existing vehicles, and get junkers off the roads. We have more in the news well, below.

#2- The international press has declared we’re all making up with Qatar today, ending the nearly four-year-old smackdown led by Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain and Egypt. Reuters quotes a Trump administration official as saying the deed is done, with the pact set to be signed in Al Ula, KSA, today, while the Financial Times says Saudi has already agreed to open its land, air and sea borders with the statelet. We have more in the news well, below, and in Last Night’s Talk Shows.

And two big stories dominate the global news agenda:

#1- US stocks celebrated the arrival of 2021 with a sell-off. Equities had their worst day since October on the first trading day of the new year as investors grew concerned about rising covid cases and the outcome of today’s Senate run-off vote in Georgia. More than 80% of companies listed on the S&P 500 lost value yesterday, dragging the index down 1.5% by the end of the session.

It’s red as far as the eye can see in Asian markets this morning, but this may not (yet) be the great selloff some have been salivating over in the past couple of weeks: Futures suggest Wall Street is likely to open in the green today, as will much of Europe.

#2- The handover of power from Agent Orange to the Biden administration enters a high-tension phase today. What you need to keep your eye on:

  • Those two key run-offs in Georgia today;
  • The National Guard is being called out to maintain order during a pro-Trump protest in Washington, DC, that Trump has called for today and tomorrow;
  • Congress gathers tomorrow to certify the results of the Electoral College vote amid what the New York Times calls an “insurgency from inside the Oval Office.”

WHAT’S HAPPENING TODAY-

It’s PMI day: Purchasing managers’ index figures for December are due out here at around 6:15am — just a few minutes after we land in your inbox. Egypt’s private sector continued to grow in November, albeit at a slower pace than in October, when business activity expanded at the fastest pace since August 2014.

December saw strong PMI growth across the world: US manufacturing grew at its fastest pace in six years, with the gauge (pdf) climbing to 57.1 in December from 56.7 in November as equipment and machinery manufacturers ramped up investment. Eurozone output also accelerated (pdf) to 55.2 during the month, from 53.8 in November, while in China the manufacturing PMI (pdf) fell back slightly from November’s 10-year high to reach 53.

Other key data releases to keep your eye on over the next several days:

  • Foreign reserves data for last month should be out later this week.
  • Inflation figures for December are due out on Sunday, 10 January.

PSA- Look for heavy fog coming into Cairo and within the Greater Cairo Area, the national weather service said as authorities ordered temporary closure of 10 roads including the Cairo-Ismailia, Ismailia-Port Said, and Ain Sokhna highways. It looked pretty nasty last night.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

State-owned investment bank NI Capital is planning to launch new investment funds “within days” to attract fresh local and international investments, according to a Planning Ministry statement out following a meeting between Minister Hala El Said and NI Capital CEO Mohamed Metwaly.

The government’s fuel pricing committee will announce new rates when it meets on Sunday, 10 January, Oil Ministry Spokesperson Hamdy Abdelaziz said on the airwaves (watch, runtime: 1:51). The committee, which meets quarterly to review fuel prices under pricing mechanism that pegs prices to Brent crude and global exchange rates, left prices unchanged at its most recent meeting last October.

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

Is Steve coming to town? Reports in December suggested US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin was due in town this week as part of a tour that would also take him to Sudan, the UAE, Israel, and Qatar. His weekly schedule shows him comfortably in DC.

PSA- We’re heading towards a long weekend as the nation observes Coptic Christmas on Thursday. The private and public sectors are off for the day, the cabinet and Manpower Ministry confirmed yesterday. Look for announcements soon from the CBE and the EGX closing the nation’s banks and the stock market.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

Enterprise is available without charge thanks to the generous support of HSBC Egypt (tax ID: 204-901-715), the leading corporate and retail lender in Egypt; EFG Hermes (tax ID: 200-178-385), the leading financial services corporation in frontier emerging markets; SODIC (tax ID: 212-168-002), a leading Egyptian real estate developer; SomaBay (tax ID: 204-903-300), our Red Sea holiday partner; Infinity (tax ID: 474-939-359), the ultimate way to power cities, industries, and homes directly from nature right here in Egypt; CIRA (tax ID: 200-069-608), the leading providers of K-12 and higher level education in Egypt; Orascom Construction (tax ID: 229-988-806), the leading construction and engineering company building infrastructure in Egypt and abroad; Moharram & Partners (tax ID: 616-112-459), the leading public policy and government affairs partner; Palm Hills Developments (tax ID: 432-737-014), a leading developer of commercial and residential properties; Mashreq (tax ID: 204-898-862), the MENA region’s leading homegrown personal and digital bank; Industrial Development Group (IDG) (tax ID:266-965-253), the leading builder of industrial parks in Egypt; Hassan Allam Properties (tax ID:  553-096-567), one of Egypt’s most prominent and leading builders; and Saleh, Barsoum & Abdel Aziz (tax ID: 220-002-827), the leading audit, tax and accounting firm in Egypt.