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Thursday, 18 February 2021

What the markets are doing on 18 February 2021

Egypt to see a swell of inflows from eurobond traders? Emerging markets are becoming a “sweet spot” for eurobond investors amid negative yields in Europe and concerns about incoming inflation, Bloomberg reported. Inflows into EM bonds have pushed their yield to a 27-month low relative to Europe, suggesting that investors are turning to higher-yielding debt in anticipation of an uptick in inflation. Egypt is already setting the tone for the asset class, with the issuance of USD 3.75 bn of eurobonds in a sale that was c. 4x oversubscribed earlier this month.

And while we’re on the topic of debt: Global debt reached a record USD 281 tn at the end of 2020 as governments and individuals around the world borrowed nearly USD 24 tn to offset the economic effects of covid-19. The borrowing spree has already pushed debt to almost 355% of global GDP, but shows no signs of abating as governments are set to continue borrowing a further USD 10 tn by the end of this year to support stimulus measures, according to Bloomberg.

Emerging markets funds’ focus on ESG is “paramount” in the upcoming five years, International Investment quoted John Malloy, co-head of emerging and frontier markets at RWC Partners.

Saudi Arabia could reverse its oil output cuts as of April after agreeing to slash its daily output by 1 mn bbl in February and March in an attempt to buoy prices, the Wall Street Journal reports. Oil prices dropped on the news ahead of the OPEC+ meeting next month, when the kingdom is expected to announce its plans, after staging a recovery in recent months on hopes of a successful vaccine rollout.

Down

EGX30

11,413

-1.1% (YTD: +5.2%)

Up

USD (CBE)

Buy 15.59

Sell 15.69

Up

USD at CIB

Buy 15.59

Sell 15.69

None

Interest rates CBE

8.25% deposit

9.25% lending

Down

Tadawul

9,084

-0.2% (YTD: +4.5%)

Down

ADX

5,636

-0.5% (YTD: +11.7%)

Down

DFM

2,595

-0.6% (YTD: +4.1%)

None

S&P 500

3,931

– (YTD: +4.7%)

Down

FTSE 100

6,711

-0.6% (YTD: +3.9%)

Up

Brent crude

USD 65.25

+1.4%

Up

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 3.27

+1.7%

Up

Gold

USD 1,777.30

+0.3%

Up

BTC

USD 52,179.97

+5.8%

The EGX30 fell 1.1% yesterday on turnover of EGP 1.4 bn (3% below the 90-day average). Foreign investors were net buyers. The index is up 5.24% YTD.

In the green: Orascom Investment Holding (+51.5%), CI Capital (+0.9%) and Sodic (+0.6%).

In the red: Orascom Financial Holding (-15.5%), Pioneers Holding (-3.3%) and MM Group (-2.5%).

Asian markets are mixed this morning, with the Nikkei and Shanghai in the green and the Kospi and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng in the red. Futures suggest the Down and S&P will open in the green, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq is trending toward red at dispatch time. We’re also looking at a mixed open in Europe this morning.

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