Back to the complete issue
Monday, 19 August 2019

Egypt’s economy expected to grow 6.8% annually until 2027, says Harvard Center for International Development

Egypt’s economy is forecast to grow at a 6.8% clip per year over the next 10 years, placing it among the top of the list of the fastest-growing economies until 2027, according to the Harvard Center for International Development’s 2027 Growth Projections. Also expected to hit annual growth rates of at least 6% are Myanmar, Uganda, China, and Vietnam. Harvard’s projections are based on a measure of ‘economic complexity,’ which accounts for the diverse and sophisticated production involved in each country’s exports.

The only unifying factor in the fastest growers? Specialized knowhow: “What unites Uganda, Egypt, China, Vietnam, and Tanzania as the fastest-growing countries in the projection is not that they uniformly share the same education level, geographic region, religion, or any measure of institutional quality. Rather, each country has a more sophisticated range of specialized knowhow than expected or its income that will drive diversification and growth,” researcher Timothy Cheston writes.

Egypt ranks 68th on the Economic Complexity Index. Egypt has moved up two places in the Economic Complexity Index due to export diversification increasing complexity of the country’s economy. Harvard projects that Egypt will continue along the same trajectory in the years to come as it further diversifies production.

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

Enterprise is available without charge thanks to the generous support of HSBC Egypt (tax ID: 204-901-715), the leading corporate and retail lender in Egypt; EFG Hermes (tax ID: 200-178-385), the leading financial services corporation in frontier emerging markets; SODIC (tax ID: 212-168-002), a leading Egyptian real estate developer; SomaBay (tax ID: 204-903-300), our Red Sea holiday partner; Infinity (tax ID: 474-939-359), the ultimate way to power cities, industries, and homes directly from nature right here in Egypt; CIRA (tax ID: 200-069-608), the leading providers of K-12 and higher level education in Egypt; Orascom Construction (tax ID: 229-988-806), the leading construction and engineering company building infrastructure in Egypt and abroad; Moharram & Partners (tax ID: 616-112-459), the leading public policy and government affairs partner; Palm Hills Developments (tax ID: 432-737-014), a leading developer of commercial and residential properties; Mashreq (tax ID: 204-898-862), the MENA region’s leading homegrown personal and digital bank; Industrial Development Group (IDG) (tax ID:266-965-253), the leading builder of industrial parks in Egypt; Hassan Allam Properties (tax ID:  553-096-567), one of Egypt’s most prominent and leading builders; and Saleh, Barsoum & Abdel Aziz (tax ID: 220-002-827), the leading audit, tax and accounting firm in Egypt.