Sunday, 26 February 2023

PM — Turning the tables on the influencer industry

TL;DR

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. We’re having a (so-far) calm start to the week, but we’re expecting the pace to pick up as everyone shakes off the weekend cobwebs.

THE BIG STORY TODAY-

USD 2 bn for nine regional industrial projects: Government officials and private sector firms from Egypt, Jordan, the UAE, and Bahrain signed 12 agreements to set up nine new industrial partnerships in agriculture, meds, minerals, petrochemicals, and electric vehicles, with a total investment outlay of some USD 2 bn. The signing of the agreements wraps up a two-day meeting in Amman on our new USD 10 bn industrial partnership with our regional neighbors.

CORRECTION- We wrote in this morning’s EnterpriseAM that the industrial partnership meeting in Amman kicks off today and ends tomorrow. In fact, the meeting got underway yesterday and ends today. The story has been updated on our website.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

The front pages of the international business press are split between the anniversary of the Ukraine War — which “changed Europe for good,” according to the New York Times — and how investors are preparing for an increase in market volatility. The stock market is starting to feel fear again with investors changing their minds about the likely course of future interest rate increases due to mounting evidence of persistent inflation, the Financial Times reports. Traders are acquiring hedges at the fastest rate since the onset of the pandemic to guard against a potential downturn, according to the Wall Street Journal.

** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • NGE to build Sokhna-Alexandria high-speed rail link: French construction firm NGE and its subsidiary TSO will construct half of the first phase of Egypt’s high-speed rail line. TSO will be responsible for laying the 330 km section of track connecting Ain Sokhna to Borg El Arab via Sixth of October.
  • Dongfeng EVs land in Egypt: Chinese auto firm Dongfeng’s E70 500 Pro electric vehicles are now being sold in the Egyptian market, courtesy of distributor Misr Helwan Automotive.
  • EKH to invest USD 170 mn in Egypt this year + reports record sales in 2022: Egypt Kuwait Holding plans to spend some USD 79 mn to up its stake in subsidiaries, and will invest USD 91 in existing projects.

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*** It’s Inside Industry day — your weekly briefing of all things industrial in Egypt. Inside Industry focuses each Sunday on what it takes to turn Egypt into a manufacturing and export powerhouse, ranging from initial investment and planning to product distribution, through to land allocation to industrial processes, supply chain management, labor, automation and technology, inputs and exports, regulation and policy.

In today’s issue: Our spinning and weaving industry is getting back on its feet. The Public Enterprise Ministry has developed a plan to revive several industries and create new ones through private-public partnerships, including the spinning and weaving industry.

???? CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

The 4th edition of AUC Business Forum kicked off today and will run through Tuesday 28 February. The event features five roundtables on the changing role of business schools and how to remain relevant and impactful in society, with a lineup of distinguished scholars, practitioners, policymakers, and executives from Egypt and abroad. You can follow the forum as it unfolds in real time on the institution's Facebook page.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Expect a daytime high of 28°C tomorrow and a nighttime low of 14°C, according to our favorite weather app.

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FOR YOUR COMMUTE

De-influencers are the new influencers: De-influencing social media followers not to buy certain products is a not-so-new trend that started picking up again in January, the Washington Post reports. Tiktok users are turning the tables on the influencer industry as content creators publish videos with honest reviews about products they think are not worth buying, for poor quality or overpricing. This seems to be gaining more follower traction than ever in light of the rising cost of living demonstrated by high inflation. “I think that the de-influencers are going to get such a following because negative information is believable,” said marketing professor at Georgetown University, Ronnie Goodstein. While some brands are asking de-influencers to give them another chance, others go as far as paying de-influencers not to talk about them, according to Goodstein.


Is China getting dethroned as king of the textile supply chain? Western fashion brands are veering away from a decades-long reliance on China for textile production as they navigate supply chain disruptions, higher labor and shipping costs, and labor laws, the Financial Times writes. UK-based shoemaker Doc Martens, for instance, outsourced just 12% of production for the 2022 autumn/winter collection to China, down from 27% in 2020, with plans to bring the figure down to 5% this year. Spanish clothing retailer Mango is on board with the shift. “What we’re looking at is the extent to which all this global sourcing, developed over many years, might become more local,” says CEO Tony Ruiz.

What’s driving the shift? Supply chain chaos kick-started by covid has ramped up freight costs and triggered shipping delays as the pandemic caught up with factory workers. The financial incentive to outsource to China has also been taken away by rising wages. The average factory wage doubled from CNY 46k per year in 2013 to CNY 92k per year in 2021. The US has also banned cotton goods from the Xinjiang region following its alleged use of forced labor in the production of cotton. And competition at home is taking off, with European clothing retailers rushing to cut delivery times in a bid to adapt to ever-changing fashion trends.

Turkey is gaining ground: Turkey has been propping itself up as a textile hub, a position advanced by its inclusion in the EU customs union, which facilitates trade between member states. “It is a popular destination and already used by the likes of Hugo Boss, Adidas, Nike, Zara,” procurement expert Simon Geale tells the FT.

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ENTERPRISE RECOMMENDS

???? ON THE TUBE TONIGHT-
(all times CLT)

The all-too-common tale of a failing relationship: Netflix’s Marriage Story documents the heartbreaking reality of a marriage falling apart, and although the plot may not sound particularly compelling at first glance, the lead performances from Scarlett Johansson, Adam Driver, and Laura Dern make this movie a must-watch. The film shows how the two protagonists work their way through divorce and custody battles over their son, battling through anger, sadness, and most importantly, their unwavering love for one another. The movie was praised by critics for its moving script and performances, and it was nominated for six awards at the 92nd Academy Awards. Be forewarned: This is not a film that shies away from the tough truths of life — it confronts them head-on, making for a poignant and powerful viewing experience (watch trailer, runtime 2:18).

Two major games will be played in England today, one in the league and one in the cup: Manchester United and Newcastle will face off in the Carabao Cup final at 6:30 pm, and the London derby between Chelsea and Tottenham has just kicked off at 3:30pm.

The competition for the top spot in the Enterprise Fantasy Premier League is heating up. Have you joined yet? If not, do not miss the action and the chance to win a prize from us. Hurry up and join by clicking here or entering this code: 8o4sut.

In the Egyptian Premier League: Smouha faces Haras El Hodood at 5pm.

In La Liga: Almeria hosts Barcelona at 7:30pm. Today's game is a chance for Barca to put more distance between themselves and their longtime rival Real Madrid, who is currently seven points behind after getting a hard draw against their neighbor Atletico yesterday.

And in the rest of the Spanish League matches:

Athletic Bilbao v Girona (3pm)

Celta Vigo v Valladolid (5:15pm)

Sevilla v Osasuna (10pm)

The Bundesliga title race heats up as three teams battle for first place: Don't miss the German League match between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin at 6:30pm. The two teams are in second and third place with the same number of points (43), but they played one fewer game than the team in first place, Borussia Dortmund (46 points).

Other notable European matches:

Milan v Atlanta (9:45pm)

Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain (9:45pm)

???? EAT THIS TONIGHT-

Tucked away in a shabby Zamalek mall is an unlikely gem—Thai restaurant Sabai Sabai: On first blush, El Masry Towers in Zamalek looks like a run-down, run-of-the-mill mall, but venture inside and you’ll unlock the treasured classic Sabai Sabai, an Asian restaurant that specializes in Thai cuisine. All of Sabai Sabai's locations are run by Thai chefs. It first opened in Zamalek in 2005 and has since spread to Nasr City and Sheikh Zayed, though the latter branch is on hiatus pending relocation. Take your pick from their hearty, ingredient-rich bowls of soup. We recommend the Tom Kha Kai, which is a mildly spicy but fully zesty chicken soup with coconut milk. And if heat is your weapon of choice, Tom Yam Koong tops the bill. The menu boasts a wide selection of entrees and noodles. Their succulent fried chicken fillet with cashew nuts is cooked to perfection. To end things on a sweet note, try their fried ice cream.

???? OUT AND ABOUT-
(all times CLT)

Rock fans rejoice: 1984, Galab and Dabbet Namla are taking the stage at El Sawy Culturewheel’s Castle of Rock Festival on Tuesday 28 February at 7 pm.

Blues Rock band Foxxy takes the stage at Room Art Space Garden City, performing covers of several singers’ songs including Jimi Hendrix, Gary Moore and Stevie Ray on Thursday 2 March at 9pm.

Metallica and Linkin Park fans, you’re in luck: Tribute bands Vyrus and Figure09 will take the stage at El Sawy Culture Wheel on Friday 3 March at 6pm, performing the two bands’ hits.

American standup comedian Maz Jobrani is serving up his funniest punchlines at the Marquee theater at Cairo Festival city on 4 March. Get your tickets at TicketsMarche.

???? UNDER THE LAMPLIGHT-

Has Slack taken over your life? Then you need to add Several People Are Typing to your reading list. Centered on the workplace-messaging tool, the humorous novel follows Gerald, an employee at a New York PR firm, whose consciousness has been uploaded into his company’s Slack channels. Gerald asks his coworker Pradeep for assistance in finding his body and getting out of his Slack hell. The novel examines office politics, the dynamics of working from home, and the pursuit of human connection. It also hits home for the diehard Slack users here at Enterprise HQ. “Humans are geniuses of communication, and we're going to find ways to connect with each other … There are also advantages for tremendous moments of grace and connections that you wouldn't have been able to make in person that you can make in this sort of more flat or more distant digital space,” author Calvin Kasulke said during an interview with NPR.

GO WITH THE FLOW

The EGX30 rose1.2% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 1.49 bn (25% below the 90-day average). Foreign investors were net sellers. The index is up 17.9% YTD.

In the green: Egypt Kuwait Holding- EGP (+4.3%), Telecom Egypt (+4.2%) and Juhayna (+3.0%).

In the red: Taleem Management Services (-2.5%), Rameda Pharma (-0.8%) and Fawry (-0.5%).

industry

The revival of the spinning and weaving industry: The Public Enterprise Ministry has created a strategy to revive a number of industries and develop a few others through partnerships with the private sector. The spinning and weaving industry is included in the strategy.

It is part of a larger plan to localize industries as part of the state's efforts to reduce our significant import bill. This strategy includes both expanding current industries and introducing new ones. Reducing imports is a key component of narrowing the current account deficit, which narrowed to 3.7% in FY 2021-22, on the back of oil and non-oil exports, rising tourism revenues, and an increase in FDI. This also comes as we look to build a more resilient local industry (and economy) that is able to withstand shocks from the outside world, such as the effects of covid and the Russia-Ukraine war.

The strategy is all inclusive: The ministry’s strategy is open to all kinds of cooperation and partnerships with the private sector, Public Enterprises Minister Mahmoud Esmat told MPs earlier this month, adding that it falls under the new state ownership policy.

More investments from private sector players to come? The ministry has prepared a list of state-owned companies seeking fresh investment. It is also working on qualifying a number of companies to partner up with the private sector as part of the state’s efforts to drum up more local and foreign investments and encourage more private sector participation in our local economy.

The spinning and weaving sector is on the lookout for major investments: The state is working on a large-scale project for the sector’s revival. This will require major investments in factories and the cultivation of short-staple cotton in coordination with the Agriculture Ministry.

Why is the spinning and weaving industry receiving special attention? The government sees the sector as one of the most important ways to get the Egyptian economy back on track and boost exports. The government is aiming to increase exports to USD 100 bn a year within the next 4–5 years and reduce dependency on imported products.

Four phases for the sector’s revival:

  • Phase one: Developing the cultivation and trade of cotton and upgrading cotton mills.
  • Phase two: Upgrading and modernizing spinning, weaving, and dyeing facilities.
  • Phase three: Launching local yarn and terrycloth.
  • Phase four: Marketing, entering new markets, and keeping pace with global trends.

It’s been a long time coming: The Public Enterprise Ministry launched its EGP 21 bn plan to promote the spinning and weaving, which includes improving the efficiency of state-owned spinning and weaving factories, under a contract with Werner International Management.

In numbers: The ministry aims to more than double the production capacity of its mills to reach an annual 4 mn quintals of cotton, up from 1.5 mn, its spinning factories to reach a production capacity of 188k tons from the current 37k, and its textile factories to reach a production capacity of 198 mn meters a year from the current 50 mn. The ministry also plans to increase its ready-made clothing and knitwear production capacity from 8 mn to 50 mn pieces annually.

Merge and refocus: As part of the plan, the ministry will merge nine of its cotton ginning and trading companies into a single entity, and will merge 22 spinning, weaving, dyeing, and processing companies into eight companies.

The factories are also getting new machines: The state has signed contracts for new machinery with several major players based in Switzerland, Germany, Italy, France, and Japan. The equipment will be purchased with a loan of EGP 1.5 bn from the National Investment Bank.

Where does the private sector stand? Egypt has some 10k private sector ready-to-wear and textile production factories with an annual production capacity worth around EGP 200 bn, according to Chairman of the Federation of Egyptian Industries’ readymade garments division Mohamed Abdel Salam.

Spinning and weaving companies were sitting on annual losses of USD 3 bn prior to the state’s plans to revive the sector, Magdy Tolba, chairman of Cairo Cotton Center and former head of the Export Council of Spinning and Textiles, told us.

IPOs for textile companies? The private sector’s involvement with the industry will help companies operating in the sector become joint stock companies and offer their shares on the Egyptian bourse, Abdel Salam said.

Egypt has what it takes to become a hub for ready-made clothes and textiles, Abdel Salam said, adding that the sector has advanced over the past few years and is now able to keep pace with fashion trends.

Where do the sector’s exports currently stand? The sector recorded some USD 2.2 bn in exports last year and aims to push that number to USD 8 bn in 2025, Abdel Salam said, adding that Egypt exports textiles to the US, Europe, the African Union, and a number of Arab countries.

The sector is also struggling with rising material costs: Polyester prices have doubled over the short-term, jumping from USD 1k a ton to USD 2k on the back of global price hikes. The industry has also been impacted by the weakening EGP against the USD, which has doubled factory costs.

Investor demand for the sector is still lacking in the petrochemical space: Due to the high investment costs, which can range from USD 3-5 bn, no local or international investors have yet shown interest in the textile-feeding petrochemical industry. Due to this, the sector needs attractive incentives to attract foreign investment.

Industry players want tax breaks, Sayed Barhmatouchy, head of the International Textile Industry and member of the Federation of Egyptian Industries’ textile division, told Enterprise. the state should start giving businesses tax breaks in relation to employee growth, he added. The state could start offering companies a 5-10% tax break per 1k increase in headcount. This will help companies save the required funds to go ahead with a capital increase, expand locally and globally, and discount their prices, helping increase competitiveness in the market.

The main thing the sector needs: Cheaper energy, our sources tell us, adding that rising energy prices are one of the major challenges suppliers face when introducing new products.


Your top industrial development stories for the week:

  • Raya Electric Company and Elaraby Group will partner to manufacture more than 1 mn units of air conditioner heat exchangers over the next three years, the two companies said in a statement last week (pdf).
  • Feeder Industries ask for govt’s support in boosting production of auto parts: The Egyptian Auto Feeders Association (EAFA) is discussing proposals with the General Authority for Investment and Free Zones (GAFI) aimed at facilitating the production of auto parts, including improvements to the transportation of goods and connecting facilities, Al Mal reports.

THE ENTERPRISE ENTERTAINMENT CALENDAR

FEBRUARY

7 February-1 March (Tuesday-Wednesday): Zāt exhibition, Safarkhan Art Gallery, Zamalek.

15 February-2 March (Wednesday-Thursday): Naguib Mahfouz Festival, Zawya Cinema, Downtown Cairo.

MARCH

3 March: Sharmoofers Caravan Concert at 8pm, Zed Park, Sheikh Zayed.

4 March: Maz Jobrani Standup Comedy at 4pm, The Marquee at Cairo Festival City, New Cairo.

8-18 March: Cirque du Soleil’s OVO, Cairo international Stadium Hall.

23 March (Wednesday): First day of Ramadan (TBC). Maghreb will be at 6:08pm CLT.

APRIL

16 April (Sunday): Coptic Easter

17 April (Monday): Sham El Nessim.

22 April (Saturday): Eid El Fitr (TBC).

25 April (Tuesday): Sinai Liberation Day.

27 April (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Sinai Liberation Day (TBC).

MAY

1 May (Monday): Labor Day.

1 May (Monday): Backstreet Boys at 7pm, ZED East, New Cairo.

4 May (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Labor Day (TBC).

JUNE

10 June (Saturday): Thanaweya Amma examinations begin.

28 June-2 July (Wednesday-Sunday): Eid El Adha (TBC).

30 June (Friday): June 30 Revolution Day.

JULY

18 July (Tuesday): Islamic New Year.

20 July (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Islamic New Year (TBC).

23 July (Sunday): Revolution Day.

27 July (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Revolution Day.

SEPTEMBER

26 September (Tuesday): Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

28 September (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

OCTOBER

6 October (Friday): Armed Forces Day.

13 October- 20 October (Friday-Friday): The sixth edition of El Gouna Film Festival (GFF).

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

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