Wednesday, 9 November 2022

PM — Raouf Ghabbour dies at 69 + Alaa Abdel Fattah puts focus on human rights at COP27

TL;DR

???? WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

Good afternoon, friends. Before we get underway this afternoon, we’re going to ask you all to pause for a moment and have a thought for the family of Raouf Ghabbour, who passed away earlier today at age 69 after a long battle with cancer.

Raouf was one of the good guys. A leading figure in our community, he became CEO in 1985 of a decades-old family business that he grew and took public in a landmark IPO. Raouf went on to lead its transformation once again, taking it outside the nation’s borders and turning it into a pioneer of Egypt’s now-booming non-bank financial services industry as he turned the subsidiary known as GB Capital into a business that’s even more compelling than the core automotive unit.

He was smart, hilarious, and profane — and thoughtful, kind, and one hell of a strategist. Raouf was guy who reveled in the intricacies of wholesale and retail politics, but who built a world-class assembly and manufacturing business and prided himself in creating meaningful jobs that made a lasting contribution to the nation’s economic development.

Raouf Ghabbour was a patriot in the best sense of the word. He thought critically about a country he loved and — in his own, colorful way — was never shy about making sure everyone knew where we were doing well, and where we could do better.

We’ll miss you, Doc.


THE BIG STORY TODAY

Day four of jailed activist Alaa Abdel Fattah’s hunger- and water-strike has made human rights one of the top issues at COP27, with Egypt’s Permanent Mission to the United Nations in Geneva putting out a statement this afternoon hitting back at UN Human Rights chief Volker Türk, who yesterday raised concerns about Abdel Fattah’s detention. Abdel Fattah has been on a hunger strike since 2 April; his family said on Sunday that Abdel Fattah had taken his last drink of water until he dies or is released.

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz have both called for Abdel Fattah’s release and his case has set off a firestorm of criticism in the international press. Abdel Fattah’s sisters and mother are continuing to lobby for his release and are asking for an update on his health, the AFP and BBC report this afternoon. The story is getting lots of ink in the foreign press, including Foreign Policy, the Washington Post, and Deutsche Welle, among others. Politico reports that American President Joe Biden will press us on human rights when he meets on Friday with President Abdel Fattah El Sisi.

MEANWHILE- The human rights narrative comes as several websites, including Human Rights Watch and Medium, have once again become accessible in Egypt.

ALSO THIS AFTERNOON-

#1- We just got USD 1 bn from Qatar: The Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) deposited USD 1 bn in the Central Bank of Egypt to provide “interim” support while the QIA continues to work on procedures to acquire state-owned stakes in listed and non-listed companies, Bloomberg reports, citing people with knowledge of the matter.

#2- OC wants to add 3 GW to its Egypt wind portfolio: Our friends at Orascom Construction consortium, along with a consortium of France’s Engie and Japan’s Toyota Tsusho, signed an MoU to set up a new 3 GW wind farm in Egypt under a build, own, operate (BOO) framework, according to a statement (pdf). The consortium signed the agreement on the sidelines of COP27 today.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

The international business press is focused largely this afternoon on the US midterm elections, which are currently “too close to call.” NBC projections suggest that Republicans could secure a “narrow” majority of the US House of Representatives, while the fate of the Senate still remains unclear as votes are tallied. The story is on the front pages of the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Reuters, and CNBC.

HAPPENING NOW-

The Finance Ministry’s “Finance Day” is currently ongoing as we hit “send” on this afternoon’s edition. Among the highlights:

The launch of the Sustainable Debt Coalition Initiative, a platform bringing together debtor and creditor countries, ratings agencies, and DFIs and MDBs in a bid to increase access to affordable green finance, reduce the cost of green debt and encourage fresh green investments among developing countries.


** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • Egypt lined up commitments for up to another 15 GW of wind power yesterday, bringing to 25 GW the total new wind-power generation capacity it has locked in recent days.
  • Commissioning kicks off at Ain Sokhna green hydrogen plant: Norway’s Scatec, the OCI / Adnoc joint venture Fertiglobe, Orascom Construction, and the Sovereign Fund of Egypt (SFE) began commissioning of the first phase of their 100 MW green hydrogen plant in Ain Sokhna.
  • Egypt unveils initiative to help poor countries adapt to climate change: COP27 President Sameh Shoukry yesterday launched a plan that envisions channeling bns of USD into the world’s poorest countries by 2030 to help them adapt to the effects of climate change.

???? CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

The Senate will reconvene next week on Sunday and Monday to discuss the FX incentive bill and another draft bill setting up the Digital Egypt Fund. The first bill, which received preliminary approval by a Senate committee earlier this week, would grant income tax breaks to investors who use FX to finance at least half of the cost of their projects. The second bill would set up a fund to support the Communications Ministry’s Digital Egypt initiative.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Temperatures in Cairo will hit 25°C tomorrow during the day before falling to 15°C at night, our favorite weather app tells us.

enterprise

???? FOR YOUR COMMUTE

Nowhere to run, nowhere to hide — GHG emissions are now fully tracked: A group of research NGOs, backed by former US Vice President and longtime climate activist Al Gore, unveiled Climate Trace, an online platform monitoring and publishing greenhouse gas emissions for the top 72k polluters worldwide, spanning across 20 sectors, according to a statement. The platform monitors power plants, steel mills, oil and gas fields, cement and aluminum producers, among other contributors to climate change across the world. Climate Trace offers the world’s first platform identifying and tracking the most prominent emission producers, using AI to help its fleet of experts analyze and calculate emissions that previously-used methodologies would have missed. The platform wants to fill in the gaps left due to a lack of transparency from nations and individual emitters. “As of the end of October, no nation has submitted a complete accounting of its emissions for 2021 to the UNFCCC. 52 countries have not submitted any emissions inventories covering the past ten years,” the statement read.

The data: Surprising no one, all the data is pointing the finger at oil and gas fields, which make up more than half of the 50 largest emission sources worldwide. Power plants made up more than half of the top 500 emitters worldwide, which collectively accounted for 14% of global emissions last year.


Having trouble falling asleep, getting up on time, or staying awake? You might be suffering from social jet lag™: The fatigue and confusion you often feel on the first day of your work week may very likely be the result of social jet lag, which is characterized by irregular sleep patterns during the week and on the weekends, according to a new study from Huazhong University of Science and Technology, UC San Francisco (UCSF), and Baylor University. Contrary to the severe symptoms of travel-related jet lag, social jet lag can be chronic and manifest itself in less evident ways. It is “more insidious, often hiding in plain sight though it may have an impact on our health” — increasing our chances of developing depression, obesity, Type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular issues, the Wall Street Journal reports, citing a UCSF psychologist. It’s also shown a correlation with poorer academic performance and less healthy eating habits.

Why is social jet lag so harmful? Inadequate sleep is detrimental for our health, but an irregular sleep schedule can be just as, if not more, problematic as “the circadian rhythms coordinate most physiological functions and most of the body’s cells have their own clock,” the WSJ says, citing sleep experts. In a recent large-scale analysis of 9k participants, 47% of US adults had social jet lag lasting two or more hours, which is equivalent to traveling one time zone, according to the WSJ citing the director of sleep medicine at Ohio’s University Hospital. The advent of daylight saving time last weekend could be seen as a form of widespread social jet lag that worsens existing circadian misalignment, according to a CDC National Health and Nutrition Examination survey.

enterprise

???? ENTERPRISE RECOMMENDS

???? ON THE TUBE TONIGHT-
(all times CLT)

Season 5 of Netlflix’s The Crown follows the Royal Family through the turbulent 90s. The new season depicts the royals as they endure three high-profile divorces (most notably then-Prince Charles and Princess Diana’s) and a fire that damages much of Windsor Castle, all against the backdrop of Tony Blair being elected as prime minister and anti-monarchy debate picking up steam amid the public. The show recasts all the main roles for the final time, with Imelda Staunton as Queen Elizabeth, Jonathan Pryce as Prince Philip, Dominic West as Prince Charles, and Elizabeth Debicki as Princess Diana. Highly anticipated moments from the period this season covers include Diana’s explosive interview with the BBC and her iconic revenge dress, which she wore hours after the airing of a documentary in which Charles revealed his infidelity.

The second day of the third round of the EFL League Cup has several important encounters, leading with a match between Manchester City and Chelsea at 10pm, playing at the same time as Liverpool vs Derby County. The remaining matches will roll as follows starting 9:45pm:

Arsenal v Brighton

Nottingham Forest v Tottenham

Newcastle v Crystal Palace

Southampton v Sheffield Wednesday

West Ham v Blackburn

Wolverhampton v Leeds

Tonight’s matches in La Liga:

Sevilla v Real Sociedad (8pm)

Almeria v Getafe (8pm)

Espanyol v Villarreal (9pm)

Real Mallorca v Atletico Madrid (10:30pm)

The most important matches in Serie A:

Sassuolo x Rome (7:30pm)

Inter x Bologna (9:45pm)

???? OUT AND ABOUT-
(all times CLT)

It’s “Taxi El Sahra” night with Djunkie at Cairo Jazz Club in Agouza at 9pm. Get ready to travel back in time with some 90s Arabic hits.

Shaabi superstar Abdelbasset Hamouda and DJ Saddam will be taking over CJC 610 tonight at 9pm with some of the best local music.

In the mood for a laid-back night out? Head to The Tap East tonight at 9pm for a live piano and vocalist performance by Marie Chain.

Don’t miss Antigone’s Law Play tonight at the AUC Malak Gabr Theatre at 7pm. The play will take you on a journey of Sophocles’ tragedy — adapted to modern times and presented in Egyptian dialect — and the mourning of an entire city following a destructive civil war.

???? UNDER THE LAMPLIGHT-

The 99% Invisible City directs our gaze to the often unnoticed yet crucial features of cities. The book is a compilation of the episodes of Roman Mars and Kurt Kohlstedt’s podcast 99% Invisible. It addresses questions like why traffic lights are red on top and green on the bottom and why maintenance hole covers are round shaped, and celebrates the small details that we seldom pay attention to but that are essential elements to cities around the world. The book dives into the stories behind these design elements, the designers and people affected by the designs, and also includes line drawings throughout. A great read if you’re looking to learn more about urban spaces.

???? GO WITH THE FLOW

The EGX30 rose 4.6% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 1.24 bn (11.1% above the 90-day average). Local investors were net sellers. The index is down 1.4% YTD.

In the green: Eastern Company (+15.7%), CIB (+11.4%) and Alexandria Containers and Cargo Handling (+4.7%).

In the red: QNB Alahli (-3.1%), Ezz Steel (-2.3%) and GB Auto (-1.9%).

???? CALENDAR

NOVEMBER

6-18 November (Sunday-Friday): Egypt will host COP27 in Sharm El Sheikh.

7-13 November (Monday-Sunday): The International University Sports Federation (FISU) World University Squash Championships, New Giza.

9 November (Wednesday): Finance Ministry to host “Finance Day” at COP27.

10-13 November (Thursday-Sunday): Asian Tour — International Series Egypt, Madinaty, Egypt.

11-12 November (Friday-Saturday): Saudi Green Initiative, Sharm El Sheikh.

13 November (Sunday): Senate back in session.

15-16 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): G20 summit, Bali, Indonesia.

20 November (Sunday): House back in session.

21 November-18 December (Monday-Sunday): 2022 Fifa World Cup, Qatar.

22 November- 23 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): The Fingerprint Summit will be held at the Nile Ritz Carlton Hotel.

27 – 28 November (Thursday-Friday): The first edition of the Egypt Media Forum.

27-30 November (Sunday-Wednesday): Cairo ICT, Egypt International Exhibition Center, New Cairo.

DECEMBER

1 December (Thursday): Sphinx International Airport will begin operating international flights.

1 December (Thursday): Contractors to break ground on Egypt-Saudi interconnection project.

3 December (Saturday): Dior Men’s pre-fall collection show in Giza.

5-8 December (Monday-Thursday): QS Reimagine Education Awards and Conference, multiple locations.

10-12 December (Saturday-Monday): The 2nd edition of the Nebu Expo for Gold and Jewelry kicks off.

13-14 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

13-15 December (Tuesday-Thursday): US-Africa Leaders Summit.

15 December (Thursday): European Central Bank monetary policy meeting.

22 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

December: The Sixth of October dry port will begin operations.

December: Egyptian Automotive Summit.

December: Egypt to expand Sudan electricity link capacity to 300 MW.

JANUARY 2023

January: EGX-listed companies and non-bank lenders will submit ESG reports for the first time.

January: Fuel pricing committee meets to decide quarterly fuel prices.

1 January (Sunday): Use of Nafeza becomes compulsory for air freight.

1 January (Sunday): Residential electricity bills are set to rise as per the government’s six-year roadmap (pdf) to restructure electricity prices by 2025.

7 January (Saturday): Coptic Christmas.

24 January-6 February: The 54th Cairo International Book Fair, Egypt International Exhibition Center

25 January (Wednesday): 25 January revolution anniversary / Police Day.

26 January (Thursday): National holiday in observance of 25 January revolution anniversary / Police Day.

30 January-1 February (Monday-Wednesday): CI Capital’s Annual MENA Investor Conference 2023, Cairo, Egypt.

FEBRUARY 2023

11 February (Saturday): Second semester of 2022-2023 academic year begins for public universities.

13-15 February (Monday-Wednesday): The Egypt Petroleum Show (Egyps), Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo.

23-27 February (Thursday-Monday): Annual Business Women of Egypt’s Women for Success conference.

MARCH 2023

March: 4Q2022 earnings season.

23 March (Wednesday): First day of Ramadan (TBC). Maghreb will be at 6:08pm CLT.

APRIL 2023

1 April (Saturday): Deadline for banks to establish sustainability unit.

17 April (Monday): Sham El Nessim.

22 April (Saturday): Eid El Fitr (TBC).

25 April (Tuesday): Sinai Liberation Day.

27 April (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Sinai Liberation Day (TBC).

Late April – 15 May: 1Q2023 earnings season.

MAY 2023

1 May (Monday): Labor Day.

4 May (Thursday) National holiday in observance of Labor Day (TBC).

22-26 May (Monday-Friday): Egypt will host the African Development Bank (AfDB) annual meetings in Sharm El Sheikh.

JUNE 2023

19-21 June (Monday-Wednesday) Egypt Infrastructure and Water Expo debuts at the Egypt International Exhibition Center.

28 June-2 July (Wednesday-Sunday): Eid El Adha (TBC).

30 June (Friday): June 30 Revolution Day.

JULY 2023

18 July (Tuesday): Islamic New Year.

20 July (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Islamic New Year (TBC).

23 July (Sunday): Revolution Day.

27 July (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Revolution Day.

Late July-14 August: 2Q2023 earnings season.

SEPTEMBER 2023

26 September (Tuesday): Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

28 September (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

OCTOBER 2023

6 October (Friday): Armed Forces Day.

Late October-14 November: 3Q2023 earnings season.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2H 2022: The inauguration of the Grand Egyptian Museum.

2H 2022: IEF-IGU Ministerial Gas Forum, Egypt. Date + location TBA.

2H 2022: The government will have vaccinated 70% of the population.

3Q 2022: Ayady’s consumer financing arm, The Egyptian Company for Consumer Finance Services, to release its first financing product.

3Q 2022: Swvl to close acquisition of Urbvan Mobility.

4Q 2022: Infinity + Africa Finance Corporation to close acquisition of Lekela Power.

End of November: SFE’s pre-IPO fund to kick off roadshow.

4Q 2022: Electricity Ministry to tender six solar projects in Aswan Governorate.

4Q2022: Raya Holding subsidiary Aman and Qalaa Holdings’ Taqa Arabia to launch their fintech company.

4Q 2022: Saudi Jamjoom Pharma to inaugurate its EGP 1 bn pharma factory in El Obour.

End of 2022: Decent Life first phase scheduled for completion.

End of 2022: e-Aswaaq’s tourism platform will complete the roll out of its ticketing and online booking portal across Egypt.

2023: Egypt will host the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank’s Annual Meeting of the Board of Governors in 2023.

1Q 2023: Adnoc Distribution’s acquisition of 50% of TotalEnergies Egypt to close.

1Q2023: Internal trade database to launch.

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