Back to the complete issue
Wednesday, 21 December 2022

The Bank of Japan just shocked global markets

Global markets were shaken yesterday after the Bank of Japan announced (pdf) a surprise loosening of its “yield curve control” policy, triggering sell offs in the global bond and equity markets and sending the JPY soaring more than 4% against the greenback, the Financial Times reports.

What happened? The central bank said it will allow yields on long-term bonds to rise to 0.5% from 0.25%, an abrupt switch in its radically-loose monetary policy that has for years suppressed yields in a bid to end the country’s chronic low inflation problem. This position has become increasingly untenable amid a wave of monetary tightening around the world that has sent the JPY plunging to its lowest level in more than 30 years.

BOJ chief Haruhiko Kuroda pushed back against the idea that the central bank had tightened policy but that’s not how markets interpreted the move, with Japanese equity and bond markets seeing heavy sell-offs and the JPY notching its biggest one-day gain in years. The news fed through to the global markets too, with global bond yields rising and shares across much of the world ending in the red.

This could be a good thing for the rest of the world: The move could put further downward pressure on the greenback, which will be welcome news to Egypt and much of the rest of the world which has struggled to deal with a rampaging USD this year.

But then again…: A heavy sell-off in USD assets in favor of the JPY wouldn’t be great news for global financial markets.


Saudi wealth fund wants a piece of Tabreed’s local unit: The Public Investment Fund (PIF) is reportedly in talks to buy a USD 250 mn stake in the Saudi arm of Dubai-listed district cooling firm Tabreed, Bloomberg reported yesterday. The transaction would hand it a “significant holding” in the company ahead of a potential IPO in the next 24-36 months, the news outlet reported, citing people familiar with the matter. Tabreed has been expanding aggressively in the region and entered the Egyptian market earlier this year.

Western sanctions are already inflicting pain on Russia’s oil sector: Seaborne exports of Russian crude plunged 54% in the first week after the introduction of the G7 price cap, according to Bloomberg.

Down

EGX30

14,523

-1.5% (YTD: +21.5%)

None

USD (CBE)

Buy 24.68

Sell 24.77

None

USD at CIB

Buy 24.68

Sell 24.75

None

Interest rates CBE

13.25% deposit

14.25% lending

Up

Tadawul

10,280

+0.9% (YTD: -8.9%)

Down

ADX

10,343

-0.2% (YTD: +21.9%)

Up

DFM

3,348

+0.3% (YTD: +4.8%)

Up

S&P 500

3,822

+0.1% (YTD: -19.8%)

Up

FTSE 100

7,371

+0.1% (YTD: -0.2%)

Down

Euro Stoxx 50

3,802

-0.2% (YTD: -11.5%)

Down

Brent crude

USD 79.74

-0.1%

Down

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 5.35

-8.6%

Up

Gold

USD 1,818.07

+1.7%

Up

BTC

USD 16,870

+1.7% (YTD: -63.5%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 fell 1.5% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 2.36 bn (54.5% above the 90-day average). Local investors were net buyers. The index is up 21.5% YTD.

In the green: Palm Hills Development (+10.8%), Telecom Egypt (+4.9%) and Juhayna (+3.0%).

In the red: Mopco (-4.2%), EFG Hermes (-4.1%) and Elsewedy Electric (-3.9%).

It’s a mixed picture in Asia this morning: Shares in China and Hong Kong are the green but the Nikkei is continuing to feel the effects of the Bank of Japan’s policy switch yesterday and is down 0.7%. Shares in Europe and the US are expected to rise later today.

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

Enterprise is available without charge thanks to the generous support of HSBC Egypt (tax ID: 204-901-715), the leading corporate and retail lender in Egypt; EFG Hermes (tax ID: 200-178-385), the leading financial services corporation in frontier emerging markets; SODIC (tax ID: 212-168-002), a leading Egyptian real estate developer; SomaBay (tax ID: 204-903-300), our Red Sea holiday partner; Infinity (tax ID: 474-939-359), the ultimate way to power cities, industries, and homes directly from nature right here in Egypt; CIRA (tax ID: 200-069-608), the leading providers of K-12 and higher level education in Egypt; Orascom Construction (tax ID: 229-988-806), the leading construction and engineering company building infrastructure in Egypt and abroad; Moharram & Partners (tax ID: 616-112-459), the leading public policy and government affairs partner; Palm Hills Developments (tax ID: 432-737-014), a leading developer of commercial and residential properties; Mashreq (tax ID: 204-898-862), the MENA region’s leading homegrown personal and digital bank; Industrial Development Group (IDG) (tax ID:266-965-253), the leading builder of industrial parks in Egypt; Hassan Allam Properties (tax ID:  553-096-567), one of Egypt’s most prominent and leading builders; and Saleh, Barsoum & Abdel Aziz (tax ID: 220-002-827), the leading audit, tax and accounting firm in Egypt.