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Monday, 29 August 2022

The short sellers are massing

Is the summer US stock rally now history? Many investors seem to think so, with waning sentiment pushing traders to hedge against a downturn in the S&P 500 index, the Wall Street Journal writes. Net short positions in the index, which has risen 11% since mid-June but remains down 15% year-to-date, have reached levels not seen in two years, the newspaper reports, as more investors put their money on a fast downturn for the current rally buoying stocks from a bear market. “There’s so much skepticism, so we’re still in the sell-the-rally mentality,” said one senior analyst. “If everybody feels we’re in a bear market rally, it will almost become a self-fulfilling prophecy.”

Data out of China is only getting more meh: Economists have slashed their forecasts for Chinese growth for 2022 and most of next year amid an escalating property crisis and climate- and covid-19-related supply chain disruptions, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. The economy is now projected to grow just 3.5% this year, down from a previous forecast of 3.9%, while projections for the first three quarters of next year were also lowered by 0.1-0.4 percentage points.

Down

EGX30

10,178

-1.1% (YTD: -14.8%)

Up

USD (CBE)

Buy 19.13

Sell 19.24

None

USD at CIB

Buy 19.16

Sell 19.22

None

Interest rates CBE

11.25% deposit

12.25% lending

Down

Tadawul

12,526

-0.5% (YTD: +11.0%)

Up

ADX

10,079

+0.6% (YTD: +18.7%)

None

DFM

3,463

0.0% (YTD: +8.4%)

Down

S&P 500

4,058

-3.4% (YTD: -14.9%)

Down

FTSE 100

7,427

-0.7% (YTD: +0.6%)

Down

Euro Stoxx 50

3,604

-1.9% (YTD: -16.2%)

Up

Brent crude

USD 100.99

+1.7%

Down

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 9.30

-0.8%

Down

Gold

USD 1,749.80

-1.2%

Down

BTC

USD 19,906

-0.2% (YTD: -56.9%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 fell 1.1% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 1.19 bn (29.7% above the 90-day average). Local investors were net buyers. The index is down 14.8% YTD.

In the green: Ibnsina Pharma (+6.4%), Orascom Construction (+5.3%) and Madinet Nasr Housing (+3.1%).

In the red: e-Finance (-5.5%), Housing and Development Bank (-3.3%) and Elsewedy Electric (-1.8%).

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

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