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Thursday, 29 November 2018

US Federal Reserve signals slowdown on 2019 rate hikes?

US Fed signaling slowdown on 2019 rate hikes? Meanwhile, US Federal Reserve boss Jay Powell gave markets a shot in the arm when he suggested yesterday that US interest rates are “just below … neutral” levels. Analysts have interpreted his remarks (transcript here) as a sign that the Fed may not need to lift interest rates much further. That signal could be good news for emerging markets coming out of a battering in 2018. As we noted yesterday, Morgan Stanley sees a slower rate hikes as being crucial to the prospects for EM this next year.

Powell’s remarks sparked a rally on Wall Street yesterday, helping the Dow “erase its November tumble,” the WSJ reports.

Is the bull run for global stocks entering its finale? That’s the suggestion from a Reuters poll that suggests “a broad cut to forecasts for next year on concerns over global growth and tightening financial conditions.”

The most-clicked stories in Enterprise last week included:

  • The impact on banks of proposed changes to the income tax act (Enterprise and follow-up story)
  • Sweden’s central bank governor on why a state-issued e-currency is necessary in a cashless society. (Sveriges Riksbank, pdf)
  • An Egyptian executioner explains what it’s like to legally kill people. (Vice)
  • Egyptian celebs take a stand against [redacted] harassment in new national campaign. (Facebook video)
  • The very interesting life of an Egypt-born former US spook (ABC | NYT)

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