The Market Yesterday
EGP / USD CBE market average: Buy 17.7591 | Sell 17.8579
EGP / USD at CIB: Buy 17.75 | Sell 17.85
EGP / USD at NBE: Buy 17.69 | Sell 17.79
EGX30 (Sunday): 14,414 (+0.8%)
Turnover: EGP 735 mn (29% below the 90-day average)
EGX 30 year-to-date: +16.8%
THE MARKET ON SUNDAY: The EGX30 ended Sunday’s session up 0.8%. CIB, the index heaviest constituent closed up 0.7%. EGX30’s top performing constituents were Emaar Misr up 4.8%; Egyptian Resorts up 3.3%; and Domty up 3.3%. Thursday’s worst performing stocks were Telecom Egypt down 1.3%; Oriental Weavers down 0.5%; and EFG Hermes down 0.3%. The market turnover was EGP 735 mn, and local investors were the sole net sellers.
Foreigners: Net Long | EGP +121.9 mn
Regional: Net Long | EGP +359.9 mn
Domestic: Net Short | EGP -481.8 mn
Retail: 56.1% of total trades | 44.8% of buyers | 67.4% of sellers
Institutions: 43.9% of total trades | 55.2% of buyers | 32.6% of sellers
Foreign: 25.9% of total | 28.5% of buyers | 23.2% of sellers
Regional: 10.5% of total | 18.4% of buyers | 2.7% of sellers
Domestic: 63.6% of total | 53.1% of buyers | 74.1% of sellers
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PHAROS VIEW
Egypt 2018 Macro Update — An Economic Transformation in Action: As we draw closer to 2018, Pharos Holdings gives its forecasts for Egypt’s macroeconomic growth over the next three years. Pharos expects real GDP growth to accelerate to 4.7% in FY2017-18 and to 6.1% in FY2019-20. Inflation rate is projected to decelerate to 16.6% y-o-y in FY2018-19 and 13.3% in FY2019-20 on the current tight monetary policy. The budget deficit will decline to 10.0% of GDP in FY2017-18 and 8.0% of GDP by FY2019-20 on the back of the fiscal reform measures and the resulting pickup in economic activity.The nominal FX exchange rate will stabilize in the current fiscal year at EGP 17.5 per USD, depreciating slightly to EGP18.6 in FY2018-19. You can catch the full report here (pdf).
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WTI: USD 57.36 (+1.18%)
Brent: USD 63.40 (+1.93%)
Natural Gas (Nymex, futures prices) USD 2.77 MMBtu, (+0.33%, January 2018 contract)
Gold: USD 1,248.4 / troy ounce (-0.38%)
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ADX: 4,294.87 (+0.42%) (YTD: -5.53%)
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QE: 7,827.71 (+0.7%) (YTD: -25.0%)
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BB: 1,265.44 (-0.15%) (YTD: +3.69%)