Back to the complete issue
Tuesday, 2 August 2016

El Sisi says “tough times” ahead; 20% devaluation of EGP rather than full float?

El Sisi warns of “tough,” “harsh” economic measures coming, hints at devaluation: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi warned that measures needed to improve the economy as Egypt negotiates a USD 12 bn International Monetary Fund loan won’t be a cakewalk, Al Borsa reports.“The problem is whether public opinion is prepared to accept the measures, which could be tough or harsh,” he said in a speech to a youth leadership conference yesterday. Government sources tell Al Shorouk that the Interior Ministry is preparing to hit the streets in the event that the measures spark protests.

We will also “very soon” be able to buy USD at a “unified rate,” El Sisi said. “Everyone storing USD will rush to banks tomorrow to sell them,” Amwal Al Ghad quotes the president as saying. “In all honesty the USD in the past five years has become a commodity in Egypt. The government needs to make decisions that will end the commodification of the USD,” Reuters quotes him as saying. Egyptian should expect “good news” in the “next few days” on the USD front, he added.

El Sisi’s comments caused peptic ulcers among currency speculators, with traders telling Reuters they’ve only been making small transactions at EGP 12.30-12.70 to the USD. “Buying and selling is limited and Sisi’s remarks will create apprehension," said one trader. This comes as the CBE ordered 10 more FX bureaus shuttered for one year on Monday on allegations of speculative trading on the parallel market, Al Masry Al Youm reports. This would bring the number of shuttered exchanges to 33, from the 115 licenced to operate (previously reported figures appear to have been number of branches closed, not the number of license holders shut down).

Play ball, or have the bat… The FX bureau division of the Federation of Egyptian Chambers of Commerce issued a statement supporting the CBE’s move.

Watch the president’s speech in full (run time: 28:10).

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

Enterprise is available without charge thanks to the generous support of HSBC Egypt (tax ID: 204-901-715), the leading corporate and retail lender in Egypt; EFG Hermes (tax ID: 200-178-385), the leading financial services corporation in frontier emerging markets; SODIC (tax ID: 212-168-002), a leading Egyptian real estate developer; SomaBay (tax ID: 204-903-300), our Red Sea holiday partner; Infinity (tax ID: 474-939-359), the ultimate way to power cities, industries, and homes directly from nature right here in Egypt; CIRA (tax ID: 200-069-608), the leading providers of K-12 and higher level education in Egypt; Orascom Construction (tax ID: 229-988-806), the leading construction and engineering company building infrastructure in Egypt and abroad; Moharram & Partners (tax ID: 616-112-459), the leading public policy and government affairs partner; Palm Hills Developments (tax ID: 432-737-014), a leading developer of commercial and residential properties; Mashreq (tax ID: 204-898-862), the MENA region’s leading homegrown personal and digital bank; Industrial Development Group (IDG) (tax ID:266-965-253), the leading builder of industrial parks in Egypt; Hassan Allam Properties (tax ID:  553-096-567), one of Egypt’s most prominent and leading builders; and Saleh, Barsoum & Abdel Aziz (tax ID: 220-002-827), the leading audit, tax and accounting firm in Egypt.