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Wednesday, 1 July 2020

The next 18 months — what risks lie in store for us?

What risks lie in store for us over the next 18 months? A World Economic Forum survey of 347 senior risk analysts on which of the many threats presented by covid-19 are most likely to lead to global disruption has been turned into a digestible (if depressing) infographic by the good people at Visual Capitalist.

The bad news? There’s a high chance of substantial economic fallout — surprise, surprise — with the likelihood of a prolonged global recession topping all other risks at a whopping 68.6%. There’s also a pretty high risk of emerging market collapse, at 38%.

The better news? The risk of lower Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) remains well below other potential economic risks, at 17.9%, and the likelihood of higher anti-business sentiment is a comparatively miniscule 3.2%. This means a glimmer of hope — at least for Egypt — when it comes to economic recovery from the pandemic.

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2020 Enterprise Ventures LLC.