Back to the complete issue
Sunday, 9 July 2017

CBE denies it had a hand in EGP’s appreciation

CBE denies it had a hand in EGP’s appreciation: CBE Governor Tarek Amer assured President Abdel Fattah El Sisi that the CBE had no hand in the EGP’s appreciation of around 1.3% last week in a meeting on Saturday. He told the president that market forces were entirely behind the strengthening of the currency — which is proving profitable for carry traders, according to an Ittihadiya statement picked up Al Borsa. The denial comes as analysts had speculated last week that the CBE had been artificially strengthening the EGP. Amer’s denials had been preceded by another from CBE Deputy Governor Gamal Negm to MENA news agency, where he reiterated that the CBE does not control currency fluctuations. Significant foreign inflows last week contributed to the strengthening of the local currency. Negm said that inflows during last week alone, which saw a single-day record of USD 704 mn, had amounted to around USD 2 bn.

"Right now, it’s a one way bet for the pound to appreciate, but if inflation continues, the risk changes to the downside," Mohsin Khan, Washington-based senior fellow at Atlantic Council’s Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East, tells Bloomberg’s Ahmed Namatallah and Ahmed Feteha. "More volatility in the exchange rate would be good because it would show agents that market forces are at work and that the CBE’s main focus is bringing down inflation," he added.

With bond yields reaching 21% — the highest after Argentina — EM investors continue to be attracted to the country’s debt. Inflows in t-bills drew in around USD 9 bn in foreign inflows since the EGP was floated back in November, the highest level since 2010. "If you’re an emerging market investor, you can come in and buy the world’s second-cheapest currency, offering very high yields and very low volatility,” said Renaissance Capital’s global chief economist Charles Robertson.

Enterprise is a daily publication of Enterprise Ventures LLC, an Egyptian limited liability company (commercial register 83594), and a subsidiary of Inktank Communications. Summaries are intended for guidance only and are provided on an as-is basis; kindly refer to the source article in its original language prior to undertaking any action. Neither Enterprise Ventures nor its staff assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, whether in the form of summaries or analysis. © 2022 Enterprise Ventures LLC.

Enterprise is available without charge thanks to the generous support of HSBC Egypt (tax ID: 204-901-715), the leading corporate and retail lender in Egypt; EFG Hermes (tax ID: 200-178-385), the leading financial services corporation in frontier emerging markets; SODIC (tax ID: 212-168-002), a leading Egyptian real estate developer; SomaBay (tax ID: 204-903-300), our Red Sea holiday partner; Infinity (tax ID: 474-939-359), the ultimate way to power cities, industries, and homes directly from nature right here in Egypt; CIRA (tax ID: 200-069-608), the leading providers of K-12 and higher level education in Egypt; Orascom Construction (tax ID: 229-988-806), the leading construction and engineering company building infrastructure in Egypt and abroad; Moharram & Partners (tax ID: 616-112-459), the leading public policy and government affairs partner; Palm Hills Developments (tax ID: 432-737-014), a leading developer of commercial and residential properties; Mashreq (tax ID: 204-898-862), the MENA region’s leading homegrown personal and digital bank; Industrial Development Group (IDG) (tax ID:266-965-253), the leading builder of industrial parks in Egypt; Hassan Allam Properties (tax ID:  553-096-567), one of Egypt’s most prominent and leading builders; and Saleh, Barsoum & Abdel Aziz (tax ID: 220-002-827), the leading audit, tax and accounting firm in Egypt.